The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Unión Española 37.2%
Draw 29.1%
San Marcos de Arica 33.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.3%
27.4%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.4%
26.6%
33.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
San Marcos de Arica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Unión Española - San Marcos de Arica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 21. Pereira S. 3. Alarcon R. 32. Molina L. 5. Machado W. 17. Massri F. (C) 30. Cordero R. 19. Araos A. 11. Ratotti F. 9. Vilches Araneda A.
13. Tapia B. (G) 8. Barrios A. (C) 34. Barboza A. 14. Guerra C. 17. Moya Godoy M. 10. Sagredo B. 15. Cubillos G. 19. Maidana A. 16. Reyes G. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C. 22. Donadell N.
Substitutes
4. Celis M. 15. Droguett B. 24. Norambuena G. 16. Ormeno M. 25. Ovando T. 8. Rubio P. 12. Uribe E. (G)
20. Abalos A. 33. Benavides E. 4. Iturra M. 27. Orrego I. 21. Orrego N. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Guerra C. (Own goal),
8', 1 - 1, Barboza A. ⚽,
13', Machado W. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Massri F. ⚽,
43', Araos A. 🟨,
44', Guerra C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Moya Godoy M. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
46', Ratotti F. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
46', Araos A. ↓, Droguett B. ↑,
61', Donadell N. ↓, Benavides E. ↑,
80', Cordero R. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
84', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Ovando T. ↑,
84', Maidana A. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
89', Massri F. 🟨,
90+2', Contreras K. 🟨,
90+2', Reyes G. ↓, Orrego N. ↑,
90+7', Iturra M. 🟨,
90+8', Massri F. ↓, Norambuena G. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
San Marcos de Arica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Unión Española won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Unión Española won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Chile
Usa
Watch
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Fierro J. (G) 
Machado W. 
Massri F. (C) 
Ratotti F. 
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