Match Info

National League North - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.05
	3	3.6	2.08
	2.98	3.87	2.1	Watch
	3	3.5	2.1
	3.02	3.67	2.15
	2.9	3.75	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.46)	3.65 ↓ (3.77)	2.09 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
31%

Draw
25.2%

AFC Telford United
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

24.6%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

24.2%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curzon Ashton's form might have worsened.

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curzon Ashton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Curzon Ashton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
12', 0 - 1, Stenson M. ⚽,
17', 0 - 2, Hadley-Allen D. ⚽,
19', 0 - 3, Leshabela K. ⚽,
28', 0 - 4, Leshabela K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 0 - 5, Stenson M. ⚽,
61', 0 - 6, Meddows J. ⚽,
75', 0 - 7, Oluwasegun L. ⚽,
83', 0 - 8, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 9 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 2.

Recent form of Curzon Ashton has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Telford is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Telford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Telford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 1.3:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	AFC Telford	10	2	3	5	8:15	-7	9

Last Results with these Odds

AFC Telford United - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.7%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
03.01.26	Kidderminster Harriers - Curzon Ashton	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Southport - Curzon Ashton	2:4 ✺
26.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Merthyr Town - Curzon Ashton	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Marine	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- AFC Telford United
English National League North
30.12.25	Kidderminster Harriers - AFC Telford United	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	AFC Telford United - Chester	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Buxton - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	4:3 ✺
English National League North
09.12.25	Leamington - AFC Telford United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.08.25	AFC Telford United - Curzon Ashton	1:1
18.03.23	AFC Telford United - Curzon Ashton	2:3
26.11.22	Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United	3:0
01.03.22	AFC Telford United - Curzon Ashton	2:1
05.02.22	Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United	0:0
16.01.21	AFC Telford United - Curzon Ashton	1:1
09.11.19	Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United	2:1

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