Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Guadalupe W. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cusco		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.85	3.45	4	Watch
	1.88	3.51	4.04
	2.25	3.21	3.25	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.85	3.5	4.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.88)	3.4 ↓ (3.71)	3.88 ↑ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
48.8%

Draw
27.3%

Deportivo Garcilaso
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

25.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8%

24.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Deportivo Garcilaso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 8. Fuentes A. 15. Bolivar J. 6. Ampuero A. 24. Ruidias M. 16. Valenzuela O. 26. Silva N. 88. Soto D. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 11. Tevez J.	1. Zubczuk P. (C) 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 13. Benincasa H. 16. Nunez O. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 11. Arancibia F. 8. Gonzalez A. 10. Sandoval K. 30. Da Silva B. 29. Graneros A.
Substitutes
17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 9. Callejo F. 27. Carabajal G. 22. Colitto L. 14. Diez C. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 13. Vidal A. (G) 21. Zevallos J.	31. Barbieri J. (G) 55. Canales E. 6. Garrafa Tapia I. A. 23. Moreno X. 24. Olivares C. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 9. Rodriguez P. 7. Sinisterra J.
Coaches
Rondelli M.	Lisi H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Da Silva B. 🟨,
45+2', Fuentes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', Manzaneda J. 🟨,
72', Tevez J. ↓, Callejo F. ↑,
72', Manzaneda J. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
82', Graneros A. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
82', Arancibia F. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Ruidias M. ⚽,
85', Valenzuela O. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
88', Ruidias M. 🟨,
90', Silva N. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
90', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 4.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Cusco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cusco is considered a favorite.

There are questionable in Deportivo Garcilaso: Ascues A. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:4. (average 2.2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Deportivo Garcilaso	11	7	1	3	18:7	11	22
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cusco - Comerciantes Unidos	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Cajamarca - Cusco	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Cusco - Universitario de Deportes	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Alianza Atlético - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLTL
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
27.02.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cienciano	2:3 ✺
23.02.26	Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Garcilaso - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
09.02.26	Cajamarca - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
30.09.25	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	4:0
11.05.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	1:3
29.07.24	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	0:2
17.02.24	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:0
16.09.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Cusco	2:1
23.04.23	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1

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