Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Max
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cusco		Juan Pablo II College

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	8.00	Watch
	1.31	4.80	7.00
	1.32	5.10	8.00	Watch
	1.31	5.62	9.72
	1.3	5.61	8.76	Watch
	1.26	5.55	9.60
	1.32	5.30	7.85	Watch
	1.31	5.00	7.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)	5.22 ↑ (4.3)	8.29 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
71%

Draw
17.8%

Juan Pablo II College
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.6%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

21.1%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cusco's performance.

Juan Pablo II College has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo II College than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Cusco - Juan Pablo II College Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Juan Pablo II will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 6. Ampuero A. 3. Lagos R. 55. Montano C. 26. Silva N. 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. (C) 7. Manzaneda J. 9. Callejo F.	23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 60. Miguez P. (C) 33. Almiron M. 26. Agurto F. 8. Flores C. 18. Ramirez E. 37. Rojas A. 15. Ramirez N. 71. Villanueva C. 89. Posito J.
Substitutes
17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 2. Gamarra C. 77. Herrera Joel 99. Miguel Silveira 24. Ruidias M. 88. Soto D. 11. Tevez J. 16. Valenzuela O. 13. Vidal A. (G)	50. Alaniz M. 16. Anton P. 14. Carhualllanqui J. 79. Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. 7. Henricks A. 4. Luzquinos S. 13. Puno B. 12. Quispe I. (G) 97. Rodriguez M.
Coaches
Rabanal J.	Araujo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Callejo F. ⚽, Silva N. (A),
11', Fuentes A. ↓, Gamarra C. ↑,
28', Villanueva C. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Almiron M. (Own goal),
38', Montano C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Villanueva C. ↓, Goicochea Del Carpio J. P. ↑,
57', Montano C. ↓, Valenzuela O. ↑,
57', Manzaneda J. ↓, Miguel Silveira ↑,
63', Ramirez E. ↓, Alaniz M. ↑,
63', Posito J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
73', Colman I. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
73', Diez C. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
80', Toledo J. ↓, Anton P. ↑,
87', Ramirez N. ↓, Henricks A. ↑,
88', Almiron M. 🟨,
90+5', Flores C. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Cusco is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Cusco: Aucca M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cusco: Choi G. (Injury) Custodio A. (Injury) Ruidias M. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Cusco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Juan Pablo II	11	5	4	2	21:13	8	19
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
07.08.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Cusco	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	4:1 ✺
24.07.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cusco	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	4:1 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
28.06.26	Cusco - Cienciano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL
- Juan Pablo II College FC
Peruvian Liga 1
08.08.26	Juan Pablo II College - Atlético Grau	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Sporting Cristal - Juan Pablo II College	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cienciano	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Cajamarca - Juan Pablo II College	2:2 ✺
Peruvian Copa de la Liga
27.06.26	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Pablo II College	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
01.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	2:1
22.08.25	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	0:0
06.04.25	Cusco - Juan Pablo II College	4:2

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