Match Info

Cymru South - Round 16

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Cwmbran Celtic		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	4.55	4.05	1.55
	5.65	4.73	1.43
	4.71	4.38	1.59	Watch
	4.5	4	1.53
	4.96	4.52	1.54
	4.75	4	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↓ (5.18)	4.28 ↓ (4.63)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cwmbran Celtic
18.8%

Draw
21.4%

Cardiff Draconians
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

20.1%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

19.6%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cwmbran Celtic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cwmbran Celtic than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Cwmbran Celtic - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Wylie O. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Cwmbran Celtic is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cardiff Draconians has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Cardiff Draconians is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Cardiff Draconians will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cwmbran Celtic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cwmbran Celtic
Welsh Cymru South
10.01.26	Carmarthen Town - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Cwmbran Celtic - Treowen Stars	1:2 ✺
27.12.25	Newport City - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cwmbran Celtic	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 TLTLL
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
10.01.26	Cardiff Draconians - Cambrian United	0:2 ✺
02.01.26	Caerau Ely - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
26.12.25	Cardiff Draconians - Llantwit Major	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Newport City - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
29.11.25	Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
04.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Cwmbran Celtic	2:1

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