Match Info

Cymru South - Round 18

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday


	Caerau Ely		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.65	3.3
	1.88	4.05	3.44	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.4
	1.82	3.66	3.59
	1.78	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.81)	3.71 ↓ (4.03)	3.45 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caerau Ely
49.3%

Draw
24.4%

Cardiff Draconians
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caerau Ely has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Caerau Ely - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Caerau will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Cardiff Draconians will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, McLean T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, Bowen D. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', 2 - 1, McLean T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 6).

In recent matches, Caerau has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cardiff Draconians may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Caerau is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Caerau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Caerau Ely	9	5	1	3	21:18	3	16
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
26.12.25	Trefelin - Caerau Ely	3:0 ✺
20.12.25	Caerau Ely - Aberystwyth Town	1:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
13.12.25	Caerau Ely - Llandudno	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
28.11.25	Carmarthen Town - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Caerau Ely - Cambrian United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWTL
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
26.12.25	Cardiff Draconians - Llantwit Major	2:0 ✺
10.12.25	Newport City - Cardiff Draconians	2:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
29.11.25	Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians	4:3 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.25	Cardiff Draconians - Treowen Stars	4:3 ✺
01.11.25	Cambrian United - Cardiff Draconians	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
16.08.25	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	0:1

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