Match Info

Cymru South - Round 14

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday


	Newport City		Cardiff Draconians

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.9	3.4
	1.81	3.85	3.45
	1.83	4.19	3.51	Watch
	1.75	4	3.4
	1.82	3.8	3.46
	1.76	3.8	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.75)	3.92 ↓ (4)	3.47 ↓ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newport City
50.7%

Draw
23.1%

Cardiff Draconians
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

23.2%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Newport City - Cardiff Draconians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Kazadi E. 🟥,
40', 1 - 0, McLaggon K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 2 - 0, Hillman D. ⚽,
81', 2 - 1, Mallam L. ⚽,
90+3', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)

Newport City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cardiff Draconians is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Newport City is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
05.12.25	Newport City - Pontypridd United	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Treowen Stars - Newport City	2:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
23.11.25	Newport City - Blaenavon Blues	3:2 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.25	Llantwit Major - Newport City	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Newport City - Ammanford	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TLWTT
- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh FA Cup
29.11.25	Trefelin - Cardiff Draconians	4:3 penalties ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.11.25	Cardiff Draconians - Treowen Stars	4:3 ✺
01.11.25	Cambrian United - Cardiff Draconians	5:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cardiff Draconians - Trethomas Bluebirds	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Ynyshir Albions - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLWT

Upcoming Matches