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Current Win Probability
Ponferradina 27.6%
Draw 26.3%
Racing Santander 46.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.5%
20%
65.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.2%
19.6%
66.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponferradina's performance.
Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Racing Santander might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponferradina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+20.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Racing Santander could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
0%
83.3%
Ponferradina - Racing Santander Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Racing (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Ponferradina (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Racing Santander will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing Santander will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 20%). Racing (votes: 4 - 80%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Prieto A. (C) 21. Moreno D. 2. Andujar D. 3. Novoa G. 15. Sousa V. 17. Keita A. 8. Aguilar Elizalde E. 16. Frimpong E. 7. Sergio Benito 20. Ferrer P. 11. Mula A.
13. Andreev P. (G) 15. Sangalli M. 4. Manu 32. Salinas J. 3. Garcia M. 7. Cabanzon Y. 14. Gueye M. 8. Aldasoro A. (C) 20. Camara S. 9. Arana J. 36. Sergio M.
Substitutes
25. Barredo P. (G) 9. Cortes J. 14. Fernandez X. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 26. Kysil V. 12. Lian 19. Lopez A. 4. Moltenis B. 6. San Emeterio F. 5. Undabarrena E. 18. Vazquez B.
33. Calera S. 5. Castro J. 34. Diaz D. 1. Ezkieta J. (G) 44. Fuentes D. 42. Incera I. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 43. Santi F.
Coaches
Nafti M.
Lopez J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Gueye M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gueye M. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
46', Camara S. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
46', Salinas J. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
53', 0 - 1, Arana J. ⚽, Fuentes D. (A),
56', Keita A. 🟨,
62', Sergio Benito ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
62', Mula A. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Ferrer P. ⚽, Vazquez B. (A),
72', Frimpong E. ↓, San Emeterio F. ↑,
73', Ferrer P. ↓, Fernandez X. ↑,
77', Arana J. ↓, Incera I. ↑,
77', Sangalli M. ↓, Santi F. ↑,
86', Moreno D. ↓, Moltenis B. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
96', Keita A. 🟨,
99', Sergio M. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
102', Aguilar Elizalde E. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
106', Andujar D. 🟨,
119', 1 - 2, Aldasoro A. ⚽, Santi F. (A),
119', Andreev P. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 0.
Ponferradina has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Racing is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Racing is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Finland
Watch
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Prieto A. (C) 
Sousa V. 
Frimpong E. 
Andreev P. (G) 
Gueye M. 
Camara S. 
Kysil V. 
Lian 
Moltenis B. 
Nafti M. 
