Match Info

MLS

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Audi Field (Washington, DC)

Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	DC United		Austin FC

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.55	3.4	2.6
	2.68	3.25	2.68	Watch
	2.74	3.35	2.72
	2.69	3.52	2.45	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.7
	2.73	3.32	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.66)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	2.64 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DC United
35.8%

Draw
28.2%

Austin FC
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

29%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for DC United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	50%	41.7%

DC United - Austin FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Austin will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Austin (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Barraza L. (G) 18. Dodson D. 3. Bartlett L. 4. Peltola M. 15. Rowles K. 28. Schnegg D. 11. Leal R. 23. Servania B. 7. Peglow 20. Benteke C. 10. Gabriel Pirani	1. Stuver B. (G) 3. Desler M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 11. Bukari O. 8. Pereira D. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 33. Wolff O. 21. Rubio D. 10. Uzuni M.
Substitutes
12. Antley C. 14. Badji D. 6. Boris Enow 25. Hopkins J. 77. Kijima H. 1. Kim J. (G) 17. Murrell J. 8. Stroud J. 16. Tubbs G.	18. Cascante J. 30. Cleveland S. (G) 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 17. Gallagher J. 23. Kolmanic Z. 7. Obrian J. 14. Sabovic B. 16. Taylor R.
Coaches
Weiler R.	Estevez N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, Uzuni M. ⚽, Hines-Ike B. (A),
42', Benteke C. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Wolff O. ⚽, Desler M. (A), Bukari O. (A2)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Servania B. ↓, Boris Enow ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Peglow ⚽, Gabriel Pirani (A),
52', Wolff O. 🟨,
60', 1 - 3, Bukari O. ⚽, Pereira D. (A),
66', Peltola M. ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
66', Leal R. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
72', Wolff O. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
72', Rubio D. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
77', Bukari O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
82', Boris Enow 🟨,
87', Peglow ↓, Kijima H. ↑,
87', Schnegg D. ↓, Antley C. ↑,
89', Desler M. ↓, Gallagher J. ↑,
89', Sanchez I. ↓, Dubersarsky N. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 4, Taylor R. ⚽, Dubersarsky N. (A),
90+6', 2 - 4, Benteke C. (Pen),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

DC United has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Austin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, DC United has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in DC United: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury) Herrera A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Austin: Vazquez B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in DC United: MacNaughton L. (Thigh Injury) Murrell J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, DC United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, DC United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC United
MLS
19.07.25	Columbus Crew - DC United	2:1 ✺
16.07.25	Charlotte - DC United	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - DC United	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
09.07.25	Nashville SC - DC United	5:2 ✺
MLS
05.07.25	DC United - Atlanta United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Austin FC
MLS
16.07.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Austin FC - New England Revolution	0:0 ✺
US Open Cup
08.07.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC	2:3 penalties ✺
MLS
28.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Austin FC - New York Red Bulls	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
04.10.23	Austin FC - DC United	3:0
16.04.22	DC United - Austin FC	2:3

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