Match Info

MLS

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Referee: Mendoza R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Austin FC		New England Revolution

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.8	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.02	3.45	3.7	Watch
	2.04	3.53	3.84
				Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.5
	2.02	3.61	3.73	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.15)	3.47 ↓ (3.6)	3.6 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
46.3%

Draw
27.3%

New England Revolution
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.7%

26.1%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

26.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	55.6%	11.1%

Austin FC - New England Revolution Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). New England will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Austin (2.19) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Austin (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 3. Desler M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 18. Cascante J. 23. Kolmanic Z. 11. Bukari O. 8. Pereira D. 6. Sanchez I. 17. Gallagher J. 21. Rubio D. 10. Uzuni M.	31. Ivacic A. (G) 15. Bye B. 3. Ceballos B. 2. Fofana M. 4. Beason T. 8. Polster M. 80. Yusuf A. 41. Langoni L. 10. Gil C. 23. Sands W. 7. Chancalay T.
Substitutes
30. Cleveland S. (G) 20. Dubersarsky N. 19. Fodrey C. 29. Guilherme Biro 7. Obrian J. 14. Sabovic B. 5. Svatok O. 16. Taylor R. 33. Wolff O.	9. Campana L. 11. Diaz L. 88. Farrell A. 5. Hughes K. 16. Omsberg W. 18. Oyirwoth A. 33. Parisian D. (G) 37. Urruti M. 14. Yueill J.
Coaches
Estevez N.	Porter C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Fofana M. 🟨,
45+1', Pereira D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Desler M. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
57', Sanchez I. ↓, Sabovic B. ↑,
57', Cascante J. ↓, Svatok O. ↑,
61', Chancalay T. ↓, Campana L. ↑,
67', Rubio D. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
84', Langoni L. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
84', Ceballos B. ↓, Hughes K. ↑,
86', Diaz L. 🟨,
86', Kolmanic Z. ↓, Guilherme Biro ↑,
90+1', Campana L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).

Austin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

New England is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Austin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Austin has had a series of away games.

Recently, New England has had a series of home games.

Austin might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in New England: Bono A. (Neck Injury) Feingold I. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
US Open Cup
08.07.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Austin FC	2:3 penalties ✺
MLS
28.06.25	Seattle Sounders - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
14.06.25	Austin FC - New York Red Bulls	2:1 ✺
07.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Austin FC	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	San Diego - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWWL
- New England Revolution
MLS
09.07.25	New England Revolution - Inter Miami	1:2 ✺
05.07.25	Portland Timbers - New England Revolution	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	New England Revolution - Colorado Rapids	3:3 ✺
25.06.25	New England Revolution - Nashville SC	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	New England Revolution - Cincinnati	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
21.01.25	New England Revolution - Austin FC	1:0
MLS
02.09.23	New England Revolution - Austin FC	2:2

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