Match Info

MLS

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Austin FC		New York Red Bulls

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.5
	2.22	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.27	3.3	3.53
	2.18	3.32	3.28	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.22	3.36	3.4	Watch
	2.22	3.25	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.53)	3.26 ↑ (3.2)	3.39 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
43%

Draw
29%

New York Red Bulls
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

29.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

31%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin FC's performance.

New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New York Red Bulls might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	25%	37.5%

Austin FC - New York Red Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Austin: 4% – 71%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (C) 3. Desler M. 4. Hines-Ike B. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 11. Bukari O. 8. Pereira D. 14. Sabovic B. 17. Gallagher J. 33. Wolff O. 9. Vazquez B.	31. Carlos Coronel (G) 6. Duncan K. 42. Hack A. 3. Eile N. 44. Edwards R. 75. Edelman D. 8. Stroud P. 17. Harper C. 19. Carmona W. 10. Forsberg E. (C) 13. Choupo-Moting E. M.
Substitutes
30. Cleveland S. (G) 20. Dubersarsky N. 23. Kolmanic Z. 7. Obrian J. 21. Rubio D. 6. Sanchez I. 16. Taylor R. 10. Uzuni M. 40. Van Rijn N.	20. Carballo F. 48. Donkor R. 22. Gjengaar D. 16. Hall J. 1. Marcucci A. (G) 9. Morgan L. 15. Nealis S. 26. Parker T. 37. Sofo M.
Coaches
Estevez N.	Schwarz S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Guilherme Biro ⚽, Wolff O. (A),
17', Harper C. ↓, Sofo M. ↑,
21', Desler M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. (Own goal),
37', Stroud P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Vazquez B. ⚽, Bukari O. (A),
56', Stroud P. ↓, Carballo F. ↑,
56', Choupo-Moting E. M. ↓, Morgan L. ↑,
71', Sabovic B. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
71', Desler M. ↓, Uzuni M. ↑,
76', Carmona W. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
76', Edwards R. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
81', Eile N. 🟨,
81', Vazquez B. ↓, Taylor R. ↑,
81', Bukari O. ↓, Obrian J. ↑,
84', Pereira D. 🟨,
87', Guilherme Biro ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
90', Hack A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent performances by Austin have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

NY Red Bulls is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Austin might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Austin: Cascante J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Rojas A. (International duty)

There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morgan L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Austin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Austin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
MLS
07.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Austin FC	0:2 ✺
31.05.25	San Diego - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	Austin FC - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Minnesota United - Austin FC	1:1 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLTTW
- New York Red Bulls
MLS
31.05.25	New York Red Bulls - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
28.05.25	New York Red Bulls - Charlotte	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	DC United - New York Red Bulls	0:2 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	New York Red Bulls - FC Dallas	3:2 penalties ✺
MLS
17.05.25	New York City - New York Red Bulls	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
20.09.23	New York Red Bulls - Austin FC	1:1
24.07.22	Austin FC - New York Red Bulls	3:4

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