Match Info

MLS

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Audi Field (Washington, DC)

Referee: Pekmic I. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	DC United		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.8
	2.35	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.32	3.71	2.86	Watch
	2.3	3.7	2.75
	2.28	3.98	2.78	Watch
	2.35	3.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.52)	3.73 ↑ (3.62)	2.84 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DC United
41.1%

Draw
25.5%

Cincinnati
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

26.3%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

26.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DC United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

DC United - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cincinnati (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Barraza L. (G) 15. Rowles K. 5. MacNaughton L. 3. Bartlett L. 22. Herrera A. 77. Kijima H. 23. Servania B. 28. Schnegg D. 8. Stroud J. 20. Benteke C. 7. Peglow	18. Celentano R. (G) 12. Robinson M. (C) 4. Hagglund N. 3. Flores G. 27. Anunga T. 91. Yedlin D. 22. Valenzuela G. 20. Bucha P. 29. Engel L. 23. Orellano L. 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
14. Badji D. 6. Boris Enow 18. Dodson D. 10. Gabriel Pirani 1. Kim J. (G) 11. Leal R. 17. Murrell J. 4. Peltola M. 44. Zouhir R.	11. Baird C. 37. Jimenez S. 13. Louro E. (G) 21. Miazga M. 2. Powell A. 17. Sergio Santos 14. Smith B.
Coaches
Lesesne T.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', MacNaughton L. 🟨,
28', 0 - 1, Valenzuela G. ⚽,
41', Rowles K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Engel L. 🟨,
62', Valenzuela G. ↓, Sergio Santos ↑,
69', Schnegg D. 🟨,
74', Stroud J. ↓, Gabriel Pirani ↑,
81', Kijima H. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
83', Engel L. ↓, Smith B. ↑,
84', Flores G. ↓, Miazga M. ↑,
86', Peglow ↓, Leal R. ↑,
86', MacNaughton L. ↓, Badji D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches DC United won 1.

DC United is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Cincinnati is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in DC United: Hopkins J. (Ankle Injury) Tubbs G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Cincinnati: Evander (Knee Injury) Hadebe T. (Hamstring Injury) Kann A. (Hip Injury) Nwobodo O. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in DC United: Antley C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Robinson M. (Leg Injury)

Last 12 head-to-head matches DC United won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.6:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams DC United won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC United
MLS
06.04.25	San Jose Earthquakes - DC United	6:1 ✺
29.03.25	DC United - Columbus Crew	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Orlando City - DC United	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	DC United - CF Montréal	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	DC United - Sporting Kansas City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLTW
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
05.04.25	Cincinnati - New England Revolution	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Nashville SC - Cincinnati	1:2 ✺
22.03.25	Cincinnati - Atlanta United	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Charlotte - Cincinnati	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
11.03.25	Tigres UANL - Cincinnati	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
03.07.24	DC United - Cincinnati	2:3
10.03.24	Cincinnati - DC United	0:0
24.06.23	DC United - Cincinnati	3:0
06.05.23	Cincinnati - DC United	2:1
09.10.22	DC United - Cincinnati	2:5
05.03.22	Cincinnati - DC United	0:1
25.09.21	DC United - Cincinnati	4:2

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