Match Info

MLS

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Audi Field (Washington, DC) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Freemon J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Usa	19:30	MLS Season Pass
International	23:30	Apple TV International


	DC United		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.75	4.10	2.15	Watch
	2.75	4.00	2.20
	2.65	3.80	2.30
	2.93	4.10	2.33
	2.7	4	2.31	Watch
	2.80	3.95	2.25
	2.89	4.09	2.27	Watch
	2.70	3.90	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.55)	3.99 ↑ (3.8)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DC United
34.2%

Draw
23.8%

Cincinnati
42%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

24.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

DC United - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. (C) 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 2. Nono K. 23. Servania B. 21. Dozzell A. 7. Peglow 25. Hopkins J. 9. Baribo T.	18. Celentano R. (G) 24. Smith K. 4. Hagglund N. 15. Hadebe T. 23. Doudera D. 20. Bucha P. 10. Evander (C) 5. Nwobodo O. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 16. Barlow T. 9. Denkey K.
Substitutes
12. Antley C. 32. Avilez O. 26. Bono A. (G) 40. Castillo K. 27. Markovic N. 13. Nealis S. 22. Ordaz N. 4. Peltola M. 8. Stroud J.	27. Anunga T. 88. Chirila A. 11. Gidi S. 99. Jabbari A. 13. Louro E. (G) 70. Martinez J. 17. Mboma K. 2. Powell A. 22. Valenzuela G.
Coaches
Weiler R.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Nwobodo O. 🟨,
34', Baribo T. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Evander ⚽, Bucha P. (A),
35', Hopkins J. ↓, Markovic N. ↑,
38', Barlow T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Barlow T. ⚽, Evander (A),
59', Smith K. ↓, Gidi S. ↑,
59', Nwobodo O. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
59', Barlow T. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
65', Servania B. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
65', Hefti S. ↓, Avilez O. ↑,
75', Doudera D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
85', Bucha P. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th and 8th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 1.

Recent results have been tough for DC United (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Cincinnati have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Confirmed absences for DC United: Johnson S. (Leg Injury) Kijima H. (Leg Injury) Munteanu L. (Leg Injury) Segal G. (Leg Injury).

Confirmed absences for Cincinnati: Echenique E. (Leg Injury) Malatini J. (Thigh Injury) Martinez J. (Knee Injury) Robinson M. (Injury).

In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, DC United has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:18 (averaging 1.5:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for DC United against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 11:11 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

DC United - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.58%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Cincinnati - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC United
MLS
21.10.26	Cincinnati - DC United	2:1 ✺
17.10.26	Orlando City - DC United	4:1 ✺
14.10.26	DC United - New York Red Bulls	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Inter Miami - DC United	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.09.26	DC United - Paderborn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- FC Cincinnati
MLS
21.10.26	Cincinnati - DC United	2:1 ✺
18.10.26	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	0:2 ✺
14.10.26	Cincinnati - New England Revolution	2:3 ✺
10.10.26	Atlanta United - Cincinnati	1:3 ✺
26.09.26	CF Montréal - Cincinnati	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
21.10.26	Cincinnati - DC United	2:1
31.05.25	Cincinnati - DC United	1:2
12.04.25	DC United - Cincinnati	0:1
03.07.24	DC United - Cincinnati	2:3
10.03.24	Cincinnati - DC United	0:0
24.06.23	DC United - Cincinnati	3:0
06.05.23	Cincinnati - DC United	2:1

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