Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday


	DC United		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.70	1.93
	2.95	3.80	1.94
	3.10	4.05	1.95
	3.00	4.10	1.82
	3.44	4.30	1.99	Watch
	2.6	3.65	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.75)	3.93 ↓ (4)	1.99 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

DC United
30.5%

Draw
23.3%

Paderborn
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

21.7%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

20.1%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for DC United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

DC United - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Bono A. (G) 32. Avilez O. 3. Bartlett L. 40. Castillo K. 5. Hefti S. 77. Kijima H. 27. Markovic N. 13. Nealis S. 7. Peglow 23. Servania B. 8. Stroud J.	1. Schubert M. (G) 5. Castaneda S. 20. Gotze F. 29. Lippmann C. 11. Michel S. 19. Millgramm A. 18. Pieringer M. 3. Sticker J. 21. ter Horst J. 40. Vidovic G. 38. Zeitler D.
Substitutes
12. Antley C. 21. Dozzell A. 6. Kurokawa K. 20. Leveille G. (G) 48. Turner G.	6. Baack T. 7. Batista Meier O. 22. Hansen M. 30. Marino S. 24. Mohr N. 2. Muller R. 15. Noll N. (G) 9. Philippe R. 12. Pruhs F. (G) 25. Scheller T. 27. Tigges S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Gotze F. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Vidovic G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
77', 🟨,

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Paderborn could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, DC United has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Paderborn - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 46.83%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- DC United
MLS
26.09.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - DC United	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	DC United - Charlotte	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	DC United - Atlanta United	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	DC United - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	DC United - Los Angeles	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TLTWT
- SC Paderborn 07
German Bundesliga
20.09.26	Paderborn - Hoffenheim	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Borussia Dortmund - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Paderborn - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Mainz - Paderborn	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
23.08.26	Phönix Lübeck - Paderborn	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLLTW

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