The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
DC United 39.6%
Draw 24.6%
New York Red Bulls 35.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52%
23.5%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
24.2%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that DC United's form might have worsened.
New York Red Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York Red Bulls's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for DC United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York Red Bulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
60%
0%
DC United - New York Red Bulls Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. DC United will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - NY Red Bulls (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 3. Bartlett L. (C) 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 2. Nono K. 21. Dozzell A. 23. Servania B. 32. Avilez O. 9. Baribo T. 25. Hopkins J.
34. Horvath E. (G) 12. Nealis D. (C) 2. Che J. 14. Bazan J. 59. Padelford D. 48. Donkor R. 15. Mehmeti A. 37. Sofo M. 11. Ruvalcaba J. 16. Hall J. 7. Cowell C.
Substitutes
26. Bono A. (G) 40. Castillo K. 27. Markovic N. 13. Nealis S. 22. Ordaz N. 7. Peglow 4. Peltola M. 8. Stroud J. 48. Turner G.
13. Choupo-Moting E. M. 56. Dos Santos M. 45. Faello C. 10. Forsberg E. 17. Harper C. 60. Kone S. 3. Marshall-Rutty J. 77. McCarthy J. (G) 79. Mosquera R.
Coaches
Weiler R.
Bradley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Baribo T. (Penalty Awarded),
19', Padelford D. 🟨,
22', Bartlett L. 🟨,
29', Hopkins J. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 0, Hefti S. ⚽, Baribo T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Hopkins J. ↓, Peglow ↑,
56', Avilez O. ↓, Stroud J. ↑,
57', Che J. ↓, Marshall-Rutty J. ↑,
57', Cowell C. ↓, Choupo-Moting E. M. ↑,
57', Mehmeti A. ↓, Forsberg E. ↑,
57', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
67', Nealis D. 🟨,
68', Bartlett L. 🟨,
70', Servania B. ↓, Nealis S. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A),
73', Donkor R. 🟨,
78', Donkor R. ↓, Kone S. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 12th and 8th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, DC United won 1.
Recent results have been tough for DC United (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by NY Red Bulls have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with DC United holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for DC United: Munteanu L.
(Leg Injury)
Segal G.
(Leg Injury).
Confirmed absences for NY Red Bulls: Marcucci A.
(Knee Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, DC United has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:36 (averaging 1.1:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for DC United against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 10:21 goals (averaging 1:2.1 per game).
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Johnson S. (G) 
Hefti S. 
Rowles K. 
Kurokawa K. 
Dozzell A. 
Baribo T. 
Bazan J. 
Donkor R. 
Ruvalcaba J. 
Castillo K. 
Markovic N. 
Ordaz N. 
Peglow 
Peltola M. 
Choupo-Moting E. M. 
Forsberg E. 
Kone S. 
Mosquera R. 
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