Match Info

National League - Round 22

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Dagon Port		Yadanarbon

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.05	1.82
	2.8	4.7	2
	3.22	4.53	1.78	Watch
	2.7	4.2	1.95
	2.65	4.5	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)	4.4 ↑ (3.84)	1.91 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dagon Port
31.5%

Draw
20.7%

Yadanarbon
47.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.2%

23.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

22.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dagon Port has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Yadanarbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagon Port than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yadanarbon than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Yadanarbon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dagon Port won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Dagon Port won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Yadanarbon	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dagon Port FC
Myanmar National League
11.03.26	ISPE - Dagon Port	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Dagon Port - Rakhine United	5:3 ✺
26.02.26	Dagon Port - Yarmanya United	5:2 ✺
20.02.26	Thitsar Arman - Dagon Port	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Ayeyawady United - Dagon Port	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWTL
- Yadanarbon FC
Myanmar National League
10.03.26	Yadanarbon - Yangon United	2:3 ✺
05.03.26	Yadanarbon - Ayeyawady United	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Hanthawaddy United - Yadanarbon	0:1 ✺
19.02.26	Dagon - Yadanarbon	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Yadanarbon - Shan United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
02.11.25	Yadanarbon - Dagon Port	2:2
Myanmar MNL League Cup
18.06.25	Dagon Port - Yadanarbon	0:1 penalties
Myanmar National League
22.02.25	Yadanarbon - Dagon Port	3:3
13.09.24	Dagon Port - Yadanarbon	1:2

Dagon Port - Yadanarbon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide