Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 10

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)


	Yunnan Yukun		Yanbian Longding

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.23	5.25	10
	1.22	5	13
	1.54	3.79	6.48
	1.24	5.5	12.36
	1.18	5.5	12
	1.2	5.57	12.8	Watch
	1.24	5.2	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.56)	5.12 ↑ (3.63)	10.95 ↑ (6.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
73.4%

Draw
18.1%

Yanbian Longding
8.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.7%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yanbian Longding might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanbian Longding could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Yunnan Yukun - Yanbian Longding Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yao Haoyang (G) 22. Mawlanniyaz D. 5. Jiang Jihong 18. Yi Teng 33. Cao Haiqing 7. Luo Jing 17. Liu Yi 27. Han Zilong 10. Ionita II A. 9. Labyad Z. 30. Mushekwi N.	12. Li Ya'nan (G) 20. Jin Taiyan 3. Wang Peng 15. Xu Jizu 7. Han Guanghui 24. Li Haojie 31. Qian Changjie 5. Li Da 17. Li Shibin 30. Wang B. 9. Ronan
Substitutes
11. Chen C. 26. Cui Ming'an 32. Li Guangwen 2. Li Peng 3. Liu Yi 14. Liu Yuhao 29. Ruan Jun 15. Shi Zhe 36. Zang Yifeng 23. Zhang Jianzhi (G) 12. Zhao Jianan 16. Zhao Jianbo	19. Dong Jialin (G) 18. Khedrup Lobsang 33. Li Jinyu 14. Li L. 13. Lin Taijun 6. Li Qiang 29. Liu Bo 16. Wang B. 23. Wang Chengkuai 2. Xuan Z. 26. Xu Wenguang 25. Zhang Hao
Coaches
Li J.	Kim Bong-Gil

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Xu Jizu 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Han Zilong ⚽, Ionita II A. (A),
36', Li Da ↓, Wang Chengkuai ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', 2 - 0, Ionita II A. ⚽, Han Zilong (A),
49', 2 - 1, Wang Peng ⚽,
52', 3 - 1, Mushekwi N. ⚽, Han Zilong (A),
63', Luo Jing ↓, Zang Yifeng ↑,
65', Li Haojie ↓, Wang B. ↑,
65', Han Guanghui ↓, Xuan Z. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Mushekwi N. ⚽, Labyad Z. (A),
79', Liu Yi ↓, Cui Ming'an ↑,
79', Labyad Z. ↓, Li Guangwen ↑,
82', Mushekwi N. ↓, Liu Yuhao ↑,
85', 5 - 1, Liu Yuhao ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).

Yunnan Yukun is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Yanbian Longding is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Yanbian Longding have a series of home games.

In this match Yunnan Yukun is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Jia League
04.05.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Yunnan Yukun	2:3 ✺
01.05.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yunnan Yukun	1:0 ✺
27.04.24	Yunnan Yukun - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
13.04.24	Yunnan Yukun - Wuxi Wugou	2:0 ✺
05.04.24	Jiangxi Lushan - Yunnan Yukun	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLTWW
- Yanbian Longding
Chinese Jia League
04.05.24	Yanbian Longding - Heilongjiang Ice City	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Liaoning Tieren	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Dalian Young Boy - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Yanbian Longding - Chongqing Tongliang Long	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWT

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