Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 17

Date: 16 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Pro		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.45	3.2	2.65
	2.6	3.2	2.6
	2.48	3.35	2.92
	2.4	3.1	2.6
	2.44	3.42	2.82
	2.43	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.92)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	2.76 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Pro
37.6%

Draw
28.6%

Changchun Yatai
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

27.6%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

27.7%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Pro's performance.

Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Changchun Yatai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Pro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Changchun Yatai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	10%	50%

Dalian Pro - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Dalian Pro will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wu Yan (G) 18. He Yupeng 13. Wang Yaopeng 4. Nunez V. 19. Wang Zhenao 31. Lu Peng 5. Wu Wei 11. Mamba S. 35. Wang Yu 7. Lin Liangming 39. Yan Xiangchuang	23. Wu Yake (G) 2. Abdugheni A. 26. Yi Teng 4. Okore J. 21. Cui Qi 11. Abdusalam S. 19. Liao Chengjian 44. Zulj P. 8. Wang Jinxian 29. Tan Long 13. Cheng Changcheng
Substitutes
32. Ablet Kudirat (G) 40. Bosancic N. 26. Cui Ming'an 28. Fei Yu 14. Huang Jiahui 2. Lin Longchang 38. Lu Zhuoyi 17. Manzoki C. 23. Shang Yin 10. Tsonev B. 15. Zhao Jianbo 8. Zhu Ting	3. Bi Jinhao 33. Feng Shuaihang 34. He Yiran 17. Li Hong 32. Lukic N. 31. Shi Lishan 5. Sun Jie 15. Tian Yuda 28. Wang Zhifeng (G) 24. Yan Zhiyu 20. Zhang Yufeng 16. Zheng Zhiyun
Coaches
Xie Hui	Chen Yang

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Dalian Pro have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Dalian Pro won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
12.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Dalian Pro	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Shanghai Port - Dalian Pro	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Dalian Pro - Qingdao Hainiu	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Dalian Pro	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.23	Yanbian Longding - Dalian Pro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 TTTTW
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
12.07.23	Changchun Yatai - Zhejiang Professional	2:2 ✺
08.07.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
03.07.23	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:1 ✺
29.06.23	Shandong Taishan - Changchun Yatai	4:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.23	Nanjing City - Changchun Yatai	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
22.04.23	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Pro	3:2
03.07.22	Dalian Pro - Changchun Yatai	2:2
12.06.22	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Pro	1:1
15.08.21	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Pro	3:1
22.04.21	Dalian Pro - Changchun Yatai	1:2
11.11.18	Dalian Pro - Changchun Yatai	2:0
01.08.18	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Pro	3:0

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