Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport


	Dalian Pro		Shanghai Shenhua

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.88	2.6
	2.8	3	2.45
	2.75	3.2	2.5
	3.04	3.11	2.54
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.96	3.2	2.46	Watch
	2.9	3.05	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (4.67)	3.06 ↓ (3.48)	2.47 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Pro
32%

Draw
30.4%

Shanghai Shenhua
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

27%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

26.7%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Pro's performance.

Shanghai Shenhua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanghai Shenhua might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Pro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanghai Shenhua than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanghai Shenhua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	33.3%	50%

Dalian Pro - Shanghai Shenhua Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Dalian Pro will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Shanghai Shenhua will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shanghai Shenhua: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wu Yan (G) 8. Zhu Ting 4. Nunez V. 6. Wang Xianjun 31. Lu Peng 35. Wang Yu 5. Wu Wei 11. Mamba S. 10. Tsonev B. 7. Lin Liangming 17. Manzoki C.	30. Bao Yaxiong (G) 2. Hing-Glover M. 21. Cui Lin 22. Jin Yangyang 3. Jin Shunkai 15. Wu Xi 6. Amadou I. 11. Malele C. 18. Zhang Wei 20. Yu Hanchao 9. Dai Wai-Tsun
Substitutes
22. Chen Rong 26. Cui Ming'an 14. Huang Jiahui 2. Lin Longchang 38. Lu Zhuoyi 23. Shang Yin 20. Wang Tengda 19. Wang Zhenao 39. Yan Xiangchuang 1. Zhang Chong (G) 3. Zhao Jianan 15. Zhao Jianbo	17. Bassogog C. 28. Cao Yunding 43. He B. 4. Jiang Shenglong 44. Liu H. (G) 42. Wang Junqiang 7. Xu Haoyang 24. Xu Yougang 16. Yang Zexiang 29. Zhou Junchen 41. Zhou Zhengkai (G)
Coaches
Xie Hui	Wu Jingui

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Dalian Pro won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
29.07.23	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Pro	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
25.07.23	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
22.07.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Dalian Pro	4:1 ✺
16.07.23	Dalian Pro - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
12.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Dalian Pro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLTT
- Shanghai Shenhua
Chinese Super League
29.07.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Shanghai Port	0:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
25.07.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Zhejiang Professional	5:1 ✺
Chinese Super League
22.07.23	Changchun Yatai - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1 ✺
17.07.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
11.07.23	Shandong Taishan - Shanghai Shenhua	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
05.05.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Dalian Pro	1:0
09.12.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Dalian Pro	1:2
29.09.22	Dalian Pro - Shanghai Shenhua	1:2
09.08.21	Dalian Pro - Shanghai Shenhua	2:4
19.07.21	Shanghai Shenhua - Dalian Pro	3:2
14.09.20	Dalian Pro - Shanghai Shenhua	1:1
10.08.20	Shanghai Shenhua - Dalian Pro	2:2

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