Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 19

Date: 29 July 2023, Saturday

Location: Wuhua County Olympic Sports Centre (Meizhou)


	Meizhou Hakka		Dalian Pro

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	7.5
	1.4	4.6	6.25
	1.45	4.6	6
	1.44	4.63	7.03
	1.4	4.2	6
	1.42	4.75	7	Watch
	1.41	4.6	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.08)	4.59 ↑ (3.5)	6.6 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meizhou Hakka
65.6%

Draw
20.3%

Dalian Pro
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.9%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

26.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meizhou Hakka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Meizhou Hakka's performance.

Dalian Pro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Pro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meizhou Hakka than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Meizhou Hakka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Pro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	5.9%	41.2%

Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Pro Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Meizhou Hakka will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Dalian Pro will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Meizhou Hakka: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Cheng Yuelei (G) 29. Yue Tze-Nam 6. Liao Junjian 20. Dugalic R. 7. Ye Chugui 27. Kosovic N. 30. Chen Jie 15. Chen Zhechao 25. Rodrigo Henrique 16. Yang Chaosheng 8. Conraad T.	32. Ablet Kudirat (G) 2. Lin Longchang 6. Wang Xianjun 4. Nunez V. 18. He Yupeng 35. Wang Yu 5. Wu Wei 11. Mamba S. 23. Shang Yin 7. Lin Liangming 17. Manzoki C.
Substitutes
23. Cui Wei 26. Guo Quanbo (G) 5. Jin Liangkuan 38. Li Yongjia 4. Pan Ximing 31. Rao Weihui 13. Shi Liang 21. Wang Wei 17. Yang Yihu 19. Yang Yilin 12. Yin Congyao 10. Yin Hongbo	26. Cui Ming'an 28. Fei Yu 14. Huang Jiahui 38. Lu Zhuoyi 10. Tsonev B. 20. Wang Tengda 39. Yan Xiangchuang 1. Zhang Chong (G) 3. Zhao Jianan 8. Zhu Ting
Coaches
Ristic M.	Xie Hui

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Meizhou Hakka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Meizhou Hakka is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Meizhou Hakka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Meizhou Hakka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Meizhou Hakka
Chinese FA Cup
26.07.23	Meizhou Hakka - Shandong Taishan	0:6 ✺
Chinese Super League
23.07.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
17.07.23	Shanghai Shenhua - Meizhou Hakka	2:1 ✺
12.07.23	Meizhou Hakka - Beijing Guoan	3:1 ✺
07.07.23	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LLLWW
- Dalian Pro
Chinese FA Cup
25.07.23	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
22.07.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Dalian Pro	4:1 ✺
16.07.23	Dalian Pro - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
12.07.23	Nantong Zhiyun - Dalian Pro	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Shanghai Port - Dalian Pro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
01.05.23	Dalian Pro - Meizhou Hakka	1:1
26.11.22	Dalian Pro - Meizhou Hakka	2:1
28.08.22	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Pro	4:2
Chinese Jia League
19.06.16	Dalian Pro - Meizhou Hakka	2:0

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