Match Info

AUSTRALIA: NPL Victoria - Round 26

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday


	Dandenong Thunder		Moreland City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.51	4.5	4.8
	1.47	4.5	5	Watch
	1.53	4.65	4.98
	1.53	4.72	5.01	Watch
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.48	4.45	5.09	Watch
	1.47	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.8)	4.55 ↑ (3.85)	4.98 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dandenong Thunder
61.5%

Draw
20.1%

Moreland City
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

23.7%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

18.2%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dandenong Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dandenong Thunder's performance.

Moreland City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreland City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dandenong Thunder than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dandenong Thunder that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreland City than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreland City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dandenong Thunder - Moreland City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Dixon D. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Theodorakopoulos C. ⚽,
34', 2 - 1, Dunn T. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Selimovski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
65', 3 - 2, Theodorakopoulos C. ⚽,
79', 3 - 3, Ukuno A. ⚽,
81', 3 - 4, Theodorakopoulos C. ⚽,
84', 3 - 5, Tzoutzidis M. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dandenong Thunder
Australian NPL Victoria
12.08.24	Melbourne Knights - Dandenong Thunder	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	St Albans Dinamo - Dandenong Thunder	1:0 ✺
20.07.24	Avondale - Dandenong Thunder	2:1 ✺
13.07.24	Dandenong Thunder - Port Melbourne Sharks	3:1 ✺
07.07.24	South Melbourne - Dandenong Thunder	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLLWL
- Moreland City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
10.08.24	Moreland City - Oakleigh Cannons	0:2 ✺
27.07.24	Altona Magic - Moreland City	6:3 ✺
20.07.24	Moreland City - Heidelberg United	2:3 ✺
13.07.24	Manningham United - Moreland City	3:3 ✺
06.07.24	Moreland City - Hume City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
11.05.24	Moreland City - Dandenong Thunder	4:0
22.07.23	Moreland City - Dandenong Thunder	0:4
22.04.23	Dandenong Thunder - Moreland City	3:2

Dandenong Thunder - Moreland City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide