Match Info
National League North - Round 11Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday ๐ Finished
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Darlington |
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Merthyr Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.40 |
3.60 |
2.35 |
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 |
2.37 |
3.50 |
2.37 |
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2.33 |
3.45 |
2.48 |
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2.52 |
3.87 |
2.45 |
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2.51 |
3.79 |
2.46 |
 Watch |
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2.45 |
3.80 |
2.40 |
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2.51 |
3.77 |
2.46 |
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2.44 |
3.65 |
2.41 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.48) |
3.68 ↓
(3.69) |
2.42 ↓
(2.48) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Darlington
37.4% | Draw
24.8% | Merthyr Town
37.7% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:The chances for Darlington have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Darlington - Merthyr Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Pearson S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 79', Livermore A. 🟥,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Rutledge A. ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 13th).Darlington is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Merthyr has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).Darlington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Darlington has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Darlington against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 20 | Merthyr Town | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
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| 22 | Darlington | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 17:25 | -8 | 11 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Merthyr Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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