Match Info
Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday
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Darlington |
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Merthyr Town |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Darlington 37.6% | Draw 25.5% | Merthyr Town 36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Darlington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darlington than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)Darlington - Merthyr Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 13th).Darlington is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).Performances by Merthyr have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).Merthyr could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match. In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Darlington has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).Specifically in home fixtures for Darlington against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals.
Outrights of English National League North for now
Merthyr Town: 1.46%
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 13 |
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| 22 | Darlington | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Merthyr Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;