Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Darmstadt		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.33	4.1	Watch
	1.65	4.15	4.25	Watch
	1.72	4.4	4.51
	1.76	4.09	3.97	Watch
				Watch
	1.69	4.3	4.42	Watch
	1.75	3.8	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	4.18 ↑ (3.7)	4.28 ↓ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
55.2%

Draw
22.6%

Dynamo Dresden
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.6%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	7.1%	3.6%

Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Dynamo Dresden (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.75 - Darmstadt (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Darmstadt (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darmstadt will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 20. Vukotic A. 3. Klassen L. 23. Richter M. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 2. Faber K. 15. Kammerknecht C. 13. Pauli J. 28. Risch S. 6. Amoako K. 17. Casar A. 25. Oehmichen J. 27. Hauptmann N. 16. Froling N. 33. Daferner C.
Substitutes
27. Bialek B. 10. Boetius J-P. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 32. Holland F. 19. Lakenmacher F. 5. Maglica M. 8. Marseiler L. 21. Papela M.	29. Boeder L. 23. Bunning L. 22. Grill L. (G) 8. Herrmann L. 11. Kother D. 30. Kutschke S. 10. Lemmer J. 26. Marx J. H. 24. Menzel T.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Lidberg I. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Hornby F. ⚽, Corredor K. (A),
55', Hauptmann N. 🟨,
64', Froling N. ↓, Lemmer J. ↑,
64', Oehmichen J. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
66', Richter M. 🟨,
71', Richter M. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
74', Daferner C. ↓, Boeder L. ↑,
74', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
74', Amoako K. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
82', Hornby F. ↓, Bialek B. ↑,
84', Bialek B. 🟨,
90', Akiyama H. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
90', Lidberg I. ↓, Boetius J-P. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 5.

Darmstadt is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Dynamo Dresden's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Darmstadt is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Will P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A. (Muscle Injury) Sapina V. (Red Card) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Nurnberger F. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Darmstadt - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Kaiserslautern - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Darmstadt - Hertha Berlin	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Lübeck - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTW
- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Dynamo Dresden - Hannover	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Mainz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German DFB Pokal
30.10.24	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	2:3 ET
German 2 Bundesliga
26.02.22	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	0:1
19.09.21	Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden	1:0
German DFB Pokal
22.12.20	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	0:3
German 2 Bundesliga
07.02.20	Dynamo Dresden - Darmstadt	2:3
23.08.19	Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden	0:0
23.02.19	Darmstadt - Dynamo Dresden	2:0

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