Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Croatia	SportKlub 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
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Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
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Serbia	Arena Sport 1, SportKlub 2
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Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball


	Elversberg		Dynamo Dresden

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.4
	2	3.65	3.25
	2.04	3.9	3.48
	1.82	3.41	4.53	Watch
	2.01	3.68	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.01)	3.66 ↓ (3.8)	3.63 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elversberg
47.9%

Draw
25.9%

Dynamo Dresden
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

24.8%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

24.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Elversberg aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.9%	7.1%	0%

Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Kristof N. (G) 30. Gyamerah J. 19. Pinckert L. (C) 31. Rohr M. 21. Gunther L. 6. Conde A. 8. Poreba L. 25. Petkov L. 10. Conte B. 29. Zimmerschied T. 22. Ebnoutalib Y.	1. Schreiber T. (G) 2. Faber K. 29. Boeder L. 13. Pauli J. 28. Risch S. 6. Amoako K. 5. Sapina V. 10. Lemmer J. 27. Hauptmann N. (C) 8. Herrmann L. 33. Daferner C.
Substitutes
28. Boss T. (G) 11. Ceka J. 43. Keidel F. 3. Le Joncour F. 2. Mickelson N. 17. Schmahl F. 24. Schnellbacher L. 23. Sickinger C. 9. Stange O.	23. Bunning L. 17. Casar A. 16. Froling N. 22. Grill L. (G) 15. Kammerknecht C. 11. Kother D. 30. Kutschke S. 26. Marx J. H. 25. Oehmichen J.
Coaches
Wagner V.	Stamm T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Daferner C. ⚽,
9', Sapina V. 🟨,
9', 1 - 1, Ebnoutalib Y. ⚽, Zimmerschied T. (A),
17', Boeder L. 🟨,
32', Herrmann L. ↓, Kother D. ↑,
39', 1 - 2, Lemmer J. ⚽, Hauptmann N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Pauli J. ↓, Bunning L. ↑,
63', Amoako K. ↓, Casar A. ↑,
63', Gunther L. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
63', Gyamerah J. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
70', Hauptmann N. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
70', Daferner C. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
76', Petkov L. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
76', Conde A. ↓, Ceka J. ↑,
89', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 2, Ebnoutalib Y. ⚽, Poreba L. (A),
90+4', Bunning L. 🟨,
90+5', Kutschke S. 🟨,

Preview

Elversberg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dynamo Dresden's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Elversberg has had a series of away games.

Elversberg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Mahmoud M. (Inactive) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Rossipal A. (Inactive) Vermeij V. (Back Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)

There are questionable in Elversberg: Zimmerschied T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Pauli J. (Ankle Injury)

We predict that Elversberg will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Elversberg
Club Friendly
05.09.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.08.25	Hertha Berlin - Elversberg	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Elversberg - Kaiserslautern	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
17.08.25	Ulm 1846 - Elversberg	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.25	Bochum - Elversberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWL
- Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga
31.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Schalke 04	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Dynamo Dresden	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Mainz	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.25	Dynamo Dresden - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Greuther Fürth - Dynamo Dresden	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
26.02.23	Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden	1:1
20.08.22	Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg	2:3

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