Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Darmstadt		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
	2.02	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2	3.6	4.25
	2	3.5	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.3	Watch
	2.07	3.56	3.48	Watch
	1.95	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.14)	3.41 ↑ (3.11)	3.66 ↓ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
46.5%

Draw
27.7%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

30.4%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.7%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	10.7%	3.6%

Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Darmstadt (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Darmstadt (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Darmstadt will win (24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Darmstadt will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 32. Holland F. 17. Klefisch K. 31. Schmidt N. 23. Richter M. 9. Hornby F. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.	33. Kastenmeier F. (C) 15. Oberdorf T. 44. Egouli E. 30. de Wijs J. 19. Iyoha E. 16. Tanaka S. 3. Lenz C. 8. El Azzouzi A. 24. Muslija F. 13. Itten C. 23. Appelkamp S.
Substitutes
16. Akiyama H. 30. Brunst A. (G) 4. Dettoni G. 44. Furukawa Y. 19. Lakenmacher F. 8. Marseiler L. 21. Papela M. 18. Petretta R. 20. Vukotic A.	14. Alexandropoulos S. 9. Celar Z. 2. Daland J. 5. Heyer M. 1. Lotka M. (G) 12. Lunddal V. 27. Paulina J. 10. Rasmussen C. 25. Zimmermann M.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Anfang M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Hornby F. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
11', 1 - 1, de Wijs J. ⚽, Muslija F. (A),
16', de Wijs J. ↓, Daland J. ↑,
19', Lopez S. 🟨,
41', Lidberg I. 🟨,
41', Richter M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Holland F. ↓, Marseiler L. ↑,
46', Lenz C. ↓, Lunddal V. ↑,
69', Lidberg I. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
73', Schmidt N. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
82', Tanaka S. ↓, Alexandropoulos S. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Maglica M. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
89', Appelkamp S. ↓, Paulina J. ↑,
90', Richter M. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
90+6', Daland J. 🟥,
90+6', Corredor K. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2.

Darmstadt is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Fortuna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Darmstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Darmstadt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Fortuna: Breithaupt T. (Hip Injury) Hettwer J. (Knee Injury) Ljubicic M. (Thigh Injury) Rossmann T. (Illness) Schock F. (Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Lidberg I. (Inactive)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.8:1.8).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Darmstadt: 1%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
14.02.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Darmstadt - Kaiserslautern	4:0 ✺
01.02.26	Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Bochum - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWTWT
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
13.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	0:3
17.01.25	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	2:2
04.08.24	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2
16.04.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	1:0
08.10.22	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0
06.05.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Darmstadt	2:1
03.12.21	Darmstadt - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3

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