Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 19

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Darmstadt		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.75
	1.92	3.5	3.6	Watch
	2.04	3.65	3.91
	1.88	3.72	3.95	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.95	3.7	3.7	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.77)	3.6 ↓ (3.69)	3.74 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
48.7%

Draw
26.1%

Nürnberg
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

25%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

24.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71%	9.7%	19.4%

Darmstadt - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 22 - 71%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 6 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 55% – 87%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH -0.75 - Darmstadt (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Nürnberg (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (C) 17. Klefisch K. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 2. Lopez S. 21. Papela M. 16. Akiyama H. 8. Marseiler L. 23. Richter M. 7. Lidberg I. 9. Hornby F.	1. Reichert J. (G) 15. Drexler T. 4. Gruber F. 24. Lochoshvili L. 41. Porstner E. 25. Becker F. O. 6. Markhiev A. 18. Lubach R. 10. Justvan J. 39. Scobel P. 23. Zoma M. A.
Substitutes
10. Boetius J-P. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 22. Guler S. 19. Lakenmacher F. 15. Nurnberger F. 18. Petretta R. 31. Schmidt N. 20. Vukotic A.	5. Baack T. 7. Biron M. 17. Chaikhoun A. 3. Danilo Soares 33. Grimaldi A. 32. Janisch T. 31. Knoche R. 37. Maboulou N. 26. Mathenia C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Akiyama H. ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, Marseiler L. ⚽,
76', Justvan J. ↓, Maboulou N. ↑,
76', Porstner E. ↓, Janisch T. ↑,
77', Papela M. 🟨,
79', Marseiler L. ↓, Nurnberger F. ↑,
79', Richter M. ↓, Schmidt N. ↑,
84', Zoma M. A. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
84', Lubach R. ↓, Biron M. ↑,
87', Akiyama H. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
90+5', Hornby F. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Darmstadt could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Knee Injury) Bialek B. (Ankle Injury) Corredor K. (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Nürnberg: Grzywacz E. (Knee Injury) Koudossou H. (Ankle Injury) Yilmaz B. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Nürnberg: Grimaldi A. (Health problems)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Nurnberg: 17.78% Darmstadt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Nurnberg	7	5	2	0	20:10	10	17
13	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Nürnberg - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 22.79%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
18.01.26	Bochum - Darmstadt	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Darmstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Paderborn - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTWW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
17.01.26	Nürnberg - Elversberg	3:2 ✺
21.12.25	Nürnberg - Hannover	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Schalke 04 - Nürnberg	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Nürnberg - Greuther Fürth	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Magdeburg - Nürnberg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1
31.01.25	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	1:0
25.08.24	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	1:1
31.03.23	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	0:1
17.09.22	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	2:0
09.04.22	Nürnberg - Darmstadt	3:1
29.10.21	Darmstadt - Nürnberg	2:0

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