Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Bickel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Darmstadt

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.4	2.7	Watch
	2.42	3.35	2.68	Watch
	2.49	3.51	2.73	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.7
	2.48	3.32	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.38)	3.37 ↓ (3.54)	2.71 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
37.9%

Draw
27.7%

Darmstadt
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

26.4%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	30%	10%

Bochum - Darmstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Darmstadt (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Darmstadt (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 39. Morgalla L. 20. Loosli N. 3. Strompf P. 32. Wittek M. 34. Lenz C. 24. Pannewig M. 29. Alfa-Ruprecht F. 21. Onyeka F. 11. Kwarteng M. 33. Hofmann P. (C)	1. Schuhen M. (C) 2. Lopez S. 6. Pfeiffer P. 5. Maglica M. 32. Holland F. 17. Klefisch K. 16. Akiyama H. 23. Richter M. 9. Hornby F. 8. Marseiler L. 7. Lidberg I.
Substitutes
35. Koscierski K. 16. Marshall C. 4. Masovic E. 23. Miyoshi K. 15. Passlack F. 18. Rakneberg M. 31. Sobottka M. 22. Thiede N. (G) 8. Watjen K.	10. Boetius J-P. 30. Brunst A. (G) 44. Furukawa Y. 22. Guler S. 3. Klassen L. 19. Lakenmacher F. 21. Papela M. 20. Vukotic A. 28. Will P.
Coaches
Rosler U.	Kohfeldt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', Alfa-Ruprecht F. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Hornby F. ⚽, Richter M. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Onyeka F. ⚽,
27', 2 - 1, Hofmann P. ⚽,
36', 2 - 2, Lidberg I. ⚽, Lopez S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
62', Kwarteng M. ↓, Miyoshi K. ↑,
62', Hornby F. ↓, Papela M. ↑,
65', Klefisch K. 🟨,
68', 2 - 3, Morgalla L. (Own goal),
70', Holland F. ↓, Vukotic A. ↑,
74', Morgalla L. ↓, Passlack F. ↑,
75', Lenz C. ↓, Marshall C. ↑,
82', 3 - 3, Marshall C. ⚽,
84', Richter M. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
84', Akiyama H. ↓, Will P. ↑,
86', Papela M. 🟨,
87', Alfa-Ruprecht F. ↓, Watjen K. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Darmstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Bero M. (Ankle Injury) Holtmann G. (Knee Injury) Obafemi M. (Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bochum won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bochum won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Bochum	7	2	1	4	5:7	-2	7
14	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Last Results with these Odds

Bochum - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.74%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German 2 Bundesliga
20.12.25	Bochum - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Hannover - Bochum	0:0 ✺
06.12.25	Bochum - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
29.11.25	Greuther Fürth - Bochum	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWLW
- SV Darmstadt 98
Club Friendly
06.01.26	Darmstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Paderborn - Darmstadt	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Darmstadt - Preußen Münster	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Darmstadt - Karlsruher	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Freiburg - Darmstadt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
02.08.25	Darmstadt - Bochum	4:1
German Bundesliga
31.03.24	Bochum - Darmstadt	2:2
03.11.23	Darmstadt - Bochum	1:2
German 2 Bundesliga
26.04.21	Darmstadt - Bochum	3:1
02.01.21	Bochum - Darmstadt	2:1
07.03.20	Darmstadt - Bochum	0:0
28.09.19	Bochum - Darmstadt	2:2

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