Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Podgorica City Stadium (Podgorica)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HJK TV
Montenegro	TVCG 2


	Dečić Tuzi		HJK

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.37
	2.65	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.46	2.48
	2.83	3.48	2.35
	2.8	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.56)	3.46 ↑ (3.27)	2.4 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dečić Tuzi
34.2%

Draw
27%

HJK
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

28.5%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29.3%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dečić Tuzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

HJK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dečić Tuzi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HJK than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28%	24%	48%

Dečić Tuzi - HJK Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Dečić will win (votes: 6 - 25%). HJK will win (votes: 12 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for HJK: 30% – 70%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikic I. (G) 22. Dresaj J. (C) 4. Milic S. 5. Tomasevic Z. 6. Malesevic L. 20. Sekulovic P. 8. Chagas C. 11. Puleio I. 10. Kajevic A. 77. Strikovic V. 50. Matic B.	25. Nijhuis T. (G) 28. Ylitolva M. 45. Tomas D. 6. Halme A. 23. Kokcu O. 10. Lingman L. (C) 8. Kanellopoulos G. 30. Pallas N. 9. Plange L. 94. Erwin L. 7. Hostikka S.
Substitutes
14. Bajovic A. 74. Balic S. 16. Bozanovic M. 7. Bozovic D. 9. Camaj I. 3. Gjelaj R. 15. Ljuljdjuraj P. 18. Maras L. 12. Masovic A. 33. Stijepovic O. 17. Ujkaj L. 13. Velimirovic P. (G)	99. Albanese A. 3. Antzoulas G. 17. Bande H. 24. Boamah M. 27. Kouassivi-Benissan K. 2. Lyons-Foster B. 42. Meriluoto K. 22. Moller L. 1. Ost J. (G) 80. Palumets K.
Coaches
Pekovic M.	Korkeakunnas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Puleio I. ⚽,
40', Milic S. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Plange L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Halme A. ↓, Antzoulas G. ↑,
46', Kokcu O. ↓, Palumets K. ↑,
46', Strikovic V. ↓, Stijepovic O. ↑,
54', Sekulovic P. 🟨,
64', Matic B. ↓, Camaj I. ↑,
64', Sekulovic P. ↓, Bozanovic M. ↑,
71', Kajevic A. ↓, Bozovic D. ↑,
71', Puleio I. ↓, Masovic A. ↑,
80', Plange L. ↓, Moller L. ↑,
81', Chagas C. 🟨,
86', Kanellopoulos G. ↓, Lyons-Foster B. ↑,
88', Camaj I. 🟨,
90+2', Lingman L. 🟨,
90+3', Hostikka S. ↓, Kouassivi-Benissan K. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Masovic A. ⚽,
90+6', Masovic A. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
105', Lyons-Foster B. 🟨,
106', Ylitolva M. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
113', Erwin L. 🟨,
115', Stijepovic O. 🟨,
120', Meriluoto K. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Bozovic D. (Pen),
1, Lingman L. (Pen),
2, Chagas C. (Pen),
2, Erwin L. (Pen),
3, Stijepovic O. (Pen),
3, Meriluoto K. (Pen),
4, Masovic A. (Pen),
4, Tomas D. (Pen),
5, Camaj I. (Pen),
5, Moller L. (Pen),
6, Dresaj J. (Pen),
6, Palumets K. (Pen),

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Recent matches Dečić is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

HJK is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently HJK have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dečić won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Dečić Tuzi
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	HJK - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
Montenegrin First League
04.08.24	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.24	Dečić Tuzi - Dinamo Batumi	0:0 ✺
24.07.24	Dinamo Batumi - Dečić Tuzi	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	Dečić Tuzi - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LTTWT
- HJK Helsinki
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	HJK - Dečić Tuzi	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
03.08.24	Lahti - HJK	2:1 ✺
27.07.24	HJK - Oulu	3:0 ✺
20.07.24	HJK - Haka	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.07.24	HJK - Panevėžys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	HJK - Dečić Tuzi	1:0

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