The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
De Graafschap 43.2%
Draw 24.6%
Willem II 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
25.1%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
25%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
De Graafschap - Willem II Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Willem II will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 3. Besselink R. 15. Kok T. 24. Meerstadt J. 8. Gijselhart T. 21. Symons K. 7. Simons J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 11. El Kadiri I. 28. Boersma B.
1. Didillon T. (G) 2. Ciranni A. 30. Behounek R. 4. Hoogma J. 24. Tjoe a On N. 19. van Aalst U. 8. Culum A. 6. Besselink G. 7. Doodeman N. 9. Haen D. 17. Bamba S.
Substitutes
20. Braem T. 22. de Jong F. 32. Hartgers N. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 33. Rijks M. 5. Schoppema L. 9. Theodoridis D. 26. van der Heide A.
47. Baartmans S. 31. de Leeuw K. (G) 43. de Ruijter F. 23. de Waal M. 20. El Allouchi M. 14. Mathijsen J. 41. van der Bas V. (G) 28. Verheydt T. 18. Zarrouk A.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.
Stegeman J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Culum A. ⚽,
13', Besselink R. 🟨,
21', Gijselhart T. 🟨,
43', Haen D. 🟨,
45', 1 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Symons K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
60', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
62', Ciranni A. 🟨,
69', Culum A. ↓, El Allouchi M. ↑,
69', Meerstadt J. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
69', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
74', Bamba S. ↓, Verheydt T. ↑,
84', Tjoe a On N. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 1.
De Graafschap has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Willem II has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
De Graafschap will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Mathieu D.
(Knee Injury)
Tirpan M.
(Injury)
van Berkel N.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Willem II: Culum A.
(Shoulder Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 1.2:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
Last Results with these Odds
De Graafschap - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.36%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.