Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos (Sertania)


	Decisão		Serra Branca

	1	X	2
	4.36	3.3	1.78
	4.45	3.15	1.84	Watch
	4.2	3	1.8
	4.5	3.22	1.76
	3.1	2.98	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.05)	3.13 ↑ (2.95)	1.89 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decisão
22.2%

Draw
29.3%

Serra Branca
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

30.2%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decisão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Decisão's form might have worsened.

Serra Branca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serra Branca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Decisão than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Decisão, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serra Branca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Decisão - Serra Branca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Kayan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Serra Branca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Serra Branca is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Decisão won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decisão FC
Brazilian Serie D
17.05.26	Retrô Brasil - Decisão	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Treze - Decisão	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Decisão - Retrô Brasil	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Serra Branca - Decisão	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Sergipe - Decisão	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLL
- Serra Branca EC
Brazilian Serie D
16.05.26	Serra Branca - Treze	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Serra Branca - Lagarto	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Lagarto - Serra Branca	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Treze - Serra Branca	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Serra Branca - Decisão	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.04.26	Serra Branca - Decisão	3:0

Decisão - Serra Branca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide