Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 30

Date: 6 July 2023, Thursday


	Defence Force		Legetafo Legedadi

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.2	7
	1.4	4	6.75
	1.39	4.21	6.85
	1.37	4.4	7.8
	1.37	4.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.34)	4.24 ↓ (4.46)	7.2 ↓ (7.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defence Force
65.9%

Draw
21.4%

Legetafo Legedadi
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

20.3%

12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

17.6%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Legetafo Legedadi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defence Force that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legetafo Legedadi than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Defence Force - Legetafo Legedadi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Chilalo W. (G) 23. Adane M. (C) 19. Disasa G. 9. Eshetu I. 20. Girma B. 5. Hagos G. 11. Mamo D. 18. Mengistu Y. 15. Mulugeta Y. 17. Saliso S. 14. Wondimu M.	1. Doji M. (G) 44. Alemayehu F. 18. Aniley T. 9. Arbo A. 14. Ataro E. 8. Awol S. 6. Ayele A. 13. Befkadu I. 20. Damtew C. (C) 17. Negash T. 5. Woldegiorgis M.
Substitutes
12. Dawiti Y. 27. Hailemariam B. 25. Ketema D. 8. Markneh C. 6. Nesru A. 13. Reshid A. 4. Simretu T. 31. Tefera D. (G) . Zenebe A.	11. Abera M. 4. Ahmed G. 23. Ayele T. 31. Delil B. (G) 25. Jul O. 16. Mensah K. (G) 22. Nigussu T. 19. Tesfaye A. 21. Tessema B.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Legetafo is Relegated to

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Defence Force is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defence Force won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.07.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Defence Force	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	Wolkite Kenema - Defence Force	0:2 ✺
04.06.23	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:3 ✺
27.05.23	Defence Force - Hawassa City	1:1 ✺
23.05.23	Ethio Electric - Defence Force	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLTT
- Legetafo Legedadi
Ethiopian Premier League
01.07.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Sidama Coffee	3:2 ✺
08.06.23	Arba Minch - Legetafo Legedadi	2:1 ✺
01.06.23	Saint George - Legetafo Legedadi	2:1 ✺
26.05.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Adama City	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Legetafo Legedadi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
24.02.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Defence Force	Defence Force awarded

Defence Force - Legetafo Legedadi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide