Match Info

ARGENTINA: COPA ARGENTINA - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 21 March 2024, Thursday


	Defensa y Justicia		Atlético de Rafaela

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.66	3.75	6	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5.58
	1.63	3.52	5.58
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.6	3.72	5.41	Watch
	1.64	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.42)	3.67 ↓ (3.98)	5.37 ↓ (7.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
57.5%

Draw
25.3%

Atlético de Rafaela
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

23.1%

11.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

22%

11.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.

Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético de Rafaela's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético de Rafaela, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Defensa y Justicia - Atlético de Rafaela Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Atlético Rafaela will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Portillo A. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Vidal P. ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, Togni G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Neutral location.

Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético de Rafaela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético de Rafaela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Belgrano - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Defensa y Justicia - Lanús	0:4 ✺
26.02.24	Defensa y Justicia - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLT
- Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Primera Nacional
16.03.24	Temperley - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Atlético de Rafaela	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	4:1 ✺
18.02.24	Gimnasia y Tiro - Atlético de Rafaela	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.12.16	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensa y Justicia	0:1
17.02.16	Defensa y Justicia - Atlético de Rafaela	4:1
03.05.15	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensa y Justicia	2:1
14.11.14	Defensa y Justicia - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1
Copa Argentina
22.10.14	Atlético de Rafaela - Defensa y Justicia	1:0

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