Match Info

Liga Profesional - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Legrotaglie (Mendoza)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	AFA Play, ESPN Premium, FOX Sports 2, TyC Sports
Austria	Laola1
Bolivia	ESPN
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 8
Ecuador	ESPN
Germany	Laola1, Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 3
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN


	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	3.20	2.82	2.45
	3.00	3.00	2.45
	3.20	3.10	2.33	Watch
	3.29	3.07	2.55
	3.17	3.21	2.35	Watch
	3.20	2.90	2.50
	3.24	2.96	2.47	Watch
	3.15	2.95	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (5.15)	3 ↓ (3.41)	2.45 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
29.8%

Draw
31.6%

Boca Juniors
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

27.7%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

27.2%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza's performance.

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boca Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gimnasia Mendoza will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rigamonti C. (G) 32. Paredes L. 2. Mondino D. (C) 4. Munoz E. 3. Recalde M. 21. Antonini F. 28. O'Connor T. 26. Lencioni F. 30. Fernandez E. 7. Cingolani L. 17. Sabatini I.	1. Montero A. (G) 24. Gorosito D. 4. Figal J. (C) 26. Pellegrino M. 46. Satas M. 8. Belmonte T. 23. Rey Domenech C. 21. Zenon K. 20. Velasco A. 13. Valencia E. 19. Flores L.
Substitutes
33. Andrada B. 5. Barboza N. 42. Carrera L. 19. Ceballos J. 36. Cortez I. 16. Guiffrey G. 31. Petruchi L. (G) 11. Rodriguez S. 10. Romano N. 15. Sanchez U. 35. Simoni V. 8. Vargas M.	15. Alarcon Cepeda W. H. 11. Angel Romero 40. Bianco L. 3. Blanco L. 12. Brey L. (G) 7. Carlos Palacios 2. Di Lollo L. 9. Gimenez M. 42. Herrera F. 16. Miguel Merentiel 5. Paredes L. 22. Villa S.
Coaches
Franco D.	Arruabarrena R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', Zenon K. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Velasco A. ⚽, Belmonte T. (A),
19', 1 - 1, Sabatini I. ⚽, Antonini F. (A),
20', O'Connor T. ↓, Vargas M. ↑,
37', Cingolani L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Zenon K. ⚽, Gorosito D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Figal J. 🟨,
59', Velasco A. ↓, Carlos Palacios ↑,
61', Franco D. 🟨,
65', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
68', Satas M. ↓, Blanco L. ↑,
68', Pellegrino M. ↓, Herrera F. ↑,
70', Blanco L. 🟨,
78', Zenon K. ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
78', Belmonte T. ↓, Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↑,
80', Antonini F. ↓, Barboza N. ↑,
80', Paredes L. ↓, Cortez I. ↑,
81', Cingolani L. ↓, Simoni V. ↑,
90+1', Mondino D. ↓, Andrada B. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 2, Fernandez E. ⚽,

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.97%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.08.26	Independiente - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	2:3 ✺
17.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Talleres de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Instituto Córdoba - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
01.08.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Unión Santa Fe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 WWWLW
- Boca Juniors
Copa Argentina
02.09.26	Vélez Sársfield - Boca Juniors	0:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.08.26	Boca Juniors - Lanús	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Racing - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.08.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Boca Juniors	0:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.26	Platense - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.02.26	Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1

Upcoming Matches