The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensa y Justicia 37.4%
Draw 30.8%
Instituto Córdoba 31.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.7%
31.6%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
31.5%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Defensa y Justicia's performance.
Instituto Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Instituto Córdoba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
80%
0%
Defensa y Justicia - Instituto Córdoba Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Instituto (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Instituto (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Borgogno M. (G) 28. Loza V. 29. Fernandez D. 21. Martinez D. 30. Dominguez D. 22. Porcel M. 8. Perez C. 26. Lucco J. 19. Barbona D. 24. Gutierrez J. 9. Fernandez L. (C)
29. Ledesma M. (G) 30. Galvan J. 26. Mosevich L. 6. Alarcon F. R. (C) 2. De La Fuente H. 55. Abregu G. 15. Gallardo M. 3. Sosa D. 21. Lazaro J. 17. Tissera M. 10. Luna A.
Substitutes
36. Amade L. (G) 27. Blanco D. 6. Burdin E. 17. Hausch A. 5. Lopez J. 45. Martinez T. 10. Molinas A. 20. Palavecino N. 11. Perrotta T. 16. Portillo A. 40. Rodriguez M. 32. Roselli N.
8. Acevedo J. 32. Bravo A. 20. Cordoba Mosquera J. E. 11. Fonseca M. 7. Guerra N. 22. Massaccesi A. 23. Meli A. 13. Mendez J. 19. Sanseviero L. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G) 9. Suarez F. 14. Viera W.
Coaches
Vaccari J.
Flores D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Lazaro J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Fernandez D. 🟨,
65', Tissera M. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
71', Loza V. ↓, Portillo A. ↑,
71', Gutierrez J. ↓, Perrotta T. ↑,
73', Luna A. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
74', Lazaro J. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,
74', De La Fuente H. ↓, Meli A. ↑,
81', Porcel M. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
89', Abregu G. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
89', Dominguez D. ↓, Hausch A. ↑,
90+1', Molinas A. 🟨,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals) and 1st in the Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Playoffs - 1/8 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensa y Justicia won 2.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Defensa y Justicia: Banega E.
(Inactive)
Molinas A.
(Knee Injury)
Roman F.
(Injury)
Sosa S.
(Red Card)
Souto L.
(Back Injury).
Confirmed absences for Instituto: Albarracin L.
(Muscle Injury)
Erquiaga I.
(Thigh Injury)
Moyano F.
(Muscle Injury)
Rafaelli L.
(Hamstring Injury).
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Defensa y Justicia has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:11 (averaging 0.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Defensa y Justicia against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:3 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Instituto Córdoba - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.