Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 19

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Ramirez N. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App
Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	ESPN
Chile	ESPN
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
Nigeria	Sporty TV
North-central-america	ESPN 5 Norte
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		River Plate

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.2	2.2
	3.3	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.57	3.24	2.22
	3.5	3.21	2.21	Watch
	3.6	3.2	2.1
	3.43	3.31	2.16	Watch
	3.3	3.25	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	2.19 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
27.7%

Draw
29.1%

River Plate
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.7%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.8%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	46.7%	46.7%

Defensa y Justicia - River Plate Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). River Plate will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bologna E. (G) 38. Rubio T. 28. Aguilera E. 21. Ramos S. 3. Soto A. 5. Gutierrez K. (C) 30. Lopez K. 33. Palavecino N. 16. Molinas A. 25. Perez C. 9. Miritello J. B.	25. Ledesma C. (G) 22. Zabala D. 6. Gattoni F. 3. Funes Mori R. 20. Casco M. (C) 5. Kranevitter M. 23. Villagra R. 36. Solari P. 30. Mastantuono F. 19. Echeverri C. 7. Bareiro A.
Substitutes
17. Alanis G. 10. Bogarin R. 14. Cannavo E. 6. Ferreira L. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 18. Galvan I. 24. Gonzalez M. 27. Herrera L. 8. Lopez J. 7. Osorio A. 37. Ramirez M. 35. Schamine B.	1. Armani F. (G) 16. Bustos F. 11. Colidio F. 13. Diaz E. 26. Fernandez N. 4. Fonseca N. 14. Gonzalez Pirez L. 10. Lanzini M. 18. Martinez P. 8. Meza M. 9. Miguel Borja 31. Simon S.
Coaches
de Muner P.	Gallardo M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Zabala D. 🟨,
21', Gutierrez K. 🟨,
34', Palavecino N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Echeverri C. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
46', Kranevitter M. ↓, Meza M. ↑,
48', Lanzini M. 🟨,
51', Palavecino N. 🟨,
55', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
56', Zabala D. ↓, Bustos F. ↑,
60', Perez C. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
60', Lopez K. ↓, Schamine B. ↑,
68', Funes Mori R. ↓, Gonzalez Pirez L. ↑,
68', Mastantuono F. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
70', Miritello J. B. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
70', Molinas A. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
77', Gattoni F. 🟨,
90', Gattoni F. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 27 and 8).

Defensa y Justicia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches River Plate is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

River Plate will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Barbona D. (Injury) Sosa M. (Injury) Togni G. (Injury)

There will not play in River Plate: Aliendro R. (Injury) Beltran S. (Injury) Martinez P. (Injury) Sant'Anna A. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:9 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	4:3 ✺
07.10.24	Defensa y Justicia - Rosario Central	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Defensa y Justicia - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Independiente Rivadavia - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLTL
- River Plate
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.10.24	River Plate - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Platense - River Plate	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	River Plate - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Boca Juniors - River Plate	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	River Plate - Atlético Tucumán	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.06.23	River Plate - Defensa y Justicia	1:0
Copa Argentina
31.08.22	Defensa y Justicia - River Plate	0:4
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.06.22	Defensa y Justicia - River Plate	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
02.04.22	Defensa y Justicia - River Plate	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
05.12.21	River Plate - Defensa y Justicia	2:3

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