Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Referee: Herrera Y. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Colombia	ESPN 3
Georgia	Silk Universal
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Universidad Católica del Ecuador		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.4	5
	1.75	3.5	4.75
	1.8	3.49	5.09
	1.74	3.56	5.1	Watch
	1.7	3.4	5	Watch
	1.76	3.54	4.79	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.7)	3.5 ↓ (3.55)	4.97 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
54.1%

Draw
26.9%

Defensa y Justicia
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26.3%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

25.8%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensa y Justicia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Uni Católica is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Defensa y Justicia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Uni Católica is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.04.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Cerro Largo	3:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
06.04.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.25	Vitória Salvador - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWT
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.04.25	Cerro Largo - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TTTLT

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