Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday


	Defensa y Justicia		Sportivo Luqueño

	1	X	2
	1.33	5	10	Watch
	1.33	4.5	8
	1.31	4.7	8	Watch
	1.35	4.5	7.8
	1.33	5.04	9.91
	1.33	4.6	9.5	Watch
	1.35	4.75	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	4.73 ↑ (4.32)	8.8 ↑ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
69.8%

Draw
19.7%

Sportivo Luqueño
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

20.4%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

12.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-30.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensa y Justicia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Luqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Defensa y Justicia - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sportivo Luqueño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Defensa y Justicia is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
01.11.20	Defensa y Justicia - Colón	0:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.10.20	Santos - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 ✺
01.10.20	Delfín - Defensa y Justicia	3:0 ✺
23.09.20	Defensa y Justicia - Olimpia Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLW
- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.10.20	Club General Díaz - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
24.10.20	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
18.10.20	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
28.10.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Defensa y Justicia	1:2

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