Match Info

Date: 24 October 2020, Saturday


	Sportivo Luqueño		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.1
	3.5	3.2	2
	3.55	3.2	2.02
	3.94	3.29	2.1
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.42	3.42	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (2.71)	3.23 ↑ (3.17)	2.05 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
26.3%

Draw
28.6%

River Plate Montevideo
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.7%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

21.1%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.

River Plate Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting River Plate Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (+5%)

Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Sportivo Luqueño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

River Plate is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

River Plate could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

River Plate will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Luqueño won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.20	Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0 ✺
03.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
19.09.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	7:0 ✺
11.09.20	Sportivo Luqueño - 12 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWLW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Danubio	4:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - LDU Quito	3:0 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
18.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - 12 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.20	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
10.10.20	Progreso - River Plate Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
03.10.20	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:0
31.07.20	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	0:1
12.11.19	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	1:2
23.08.19	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
31.03.19	Sportivo Luqueño - River Plate Montevideo	3:1
28.01.19	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	2:1
18.11.16	River Plate Montevideo - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2

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