The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensor Sporting 51.4%
Draw 27.4%
Cerro 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
28.3%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
28%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Defensor Sporting - Cerro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 3.
In recent outings, Defensor Sporting has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cerro is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Defensor Sporting may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Defensor Sporting is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Defensor Sporting has recorded 9 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:15 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Defensor Sporting against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 19:9 goals (averaging 1.9:0.9 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
CA Cerro
9
4
2
3
9:11
-2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Defensor Sporting - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.45%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.
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