Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: De Armas M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	Disney+


	Defensor Sporting		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.00	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.10	2.40
	2.75	3.20	2.50
	3.02	3.20	2.61
	2.74	3.2	2.59	Watch
	2.95	3.00	2.55
	2.81	3.12	2.55	Watch
	2.80	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.93)	3.11 ↑ (3)	2.53 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
33.1%

Draw
30%

Deportivo Maldonado
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

30.1%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

30.6%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 4. Rodriguez G. 2. Elizalde E. 3. De los Santos G. 15. Frugone A. 24. de los Santos L. 5. Barrios G. 8. Wunsch N. 11. Agazzi L. 26. Montenegro B. 22. Torterolo A.	1. Segovia D. (G) 4. Ginzo J. M. 3. Menosse H. 19. Tealde F. 22. Ramos J. 28. Cartagena S. 8. Gonzalez M. 7. Larrazabal G. 17. Ramirez S. 16. Cesar R. 14. Tabo C.
Substitutes
25. Abella D. 10. Biscayzacu X. 30. Cuello E. 19. Diaz J. 1. Machado L. (G) 7. Medina N. 6. Pereira B. 29. Pozzo T. A. 55. Rabunal M. 21. Scotti N.	42. Fernandez J. . Freitas A. (G) 2. Fuica N. 30. Ibanez L. 18. Mayada C. 5. Nunez L. 32. Petryk H. 27. Sosa G. 20. Tormo S. 23. Vila A.
Coaches
Larriera M.	Di Noia G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
21', Tabo C. 🟨,
38', Larrazabal G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Menosse H. ↓, Fuica N. ↑,
64', Torterolo A. ↓, Scotti N. ↑,
70', Wunsch N. ↓, Pozzo T. A. ↑,
70', Barrios G. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
73', Larrazabal G. ↓, Nunez L. ↑,
73', Gonzalez M. ↓, Mayada C. ↑,
80', Cartagena S. 🟨,
80', de los Santos L. (Penalty Awarded),
80', 1 - 0, Montenegro B. ⚽,
80', Tabo C. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
84', Elizalde E. 🟨,
88', Montenegro B. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
89', Rodriguez G. ↓, Rabunal M. ↑,
89', Ramirez S. ↓, Ibanez L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.

Defensor Sporting has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maldonado is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Defensor Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Maldonado	9	5	2	2	13:5	8	17

Last Results with these Odds

Defensor Sporting - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 30.85%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.09.26	Central Español - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque	1:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
25.08.26	Defensor Sporting - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.08.26	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTLTT
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguay Copa
09.09.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers	4:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
05.09.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
02.09.26	Cerrito - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.08.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Deportivo Maldonado	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
15.03.26	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	1:0
29.09.24	Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado	3:1
08.06.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	0:2
23.03.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	1:0
25.11.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	2:1
22.04.23	Defensor Sporting - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
15.10.22	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	0:0

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