The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensor Sporting 29%
Draw 29.3%
Montevideo City Torque 41.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.5%
29.8%
37.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
29.3%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Defensor Sporting - Montevideo City Torque Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Defensor Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Montevideo City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Machado L. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 2. Elizalde E. 15. Frugone A. 30. Cuello E. 55. Rabunal M. 5. Barrios G. 29. Pozzo T. A. 22. Torterolo A. 26. Montenegro B.
13. Rodriguez G. (G) 17. Aguero E. 3. Silva K. 24. Kagelmacher G. (C) 26. Silvera F. 19. Guzman D. 8. Siles P. 20. Montes G. 10. Obregon E. 9. Rodriguez S. 7. Andrade L.
Substitutes
25. Abella D. 20. Caballero M. 77. Castro F. 12. Cristaldo A. (G) 24. de los Santos L. 99. Navarro L. 9. Neris J. 16. Perdomo A. 4. Rodriguez G. 8. Wunsch N.
12. Aguiar M. (G) 15. Busquets E. 11. Da Silva N. 23. Dure L. 22. Gutierrez B. 18. Lecchini R. 5. Pizzichillo F. 30. Quintana J. 27. Taran J. 14. Zampieri S.
Coaches
Larriera M.
Mendez M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Agazzi L. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Kagelmacher G. ⚽,
25', Rabunal M. 🟨,
30', 1 - 2, Rodriguez S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cuello E. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
46', Rabunal M. ↓, de los Santos L. ↑,
59', 1 - 3, Obregon E. ⚽,
64', Obregon E. 🟨,
71', Pozzo T. A. ↓, Perdomo A. ↑,
71', Torterolo A. ↓, Castro F. ↑,
72', Andrade L. ↓, Lecchini R. ↑,
77', Guzman D. ↓, Pizzichillo F. ↑,
81', Montenegro B. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
87', Silva K. 🟨,
89', Rodriguez S. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
89', Obregon E. ↓, Dure L. ↑,
89', Silva K. ↓, Taran J. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 2.
Defensor Sporting has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Montevideo City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Defensor Sporting may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Defensor Sporting has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Defensor Sporting won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensor Sporting won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
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Machado L. (G) 
Pozzo T. A. 
Montenegro B. 
