Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: SERIE RIO DE LA PLATA

Date: 19 January 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)


	Defensor Sporting		Rosario Central

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.25
	3	3.1	2.35
	2.96	2.85	2.53
	3	2.9	2.25
	2.83	3.2	2.4	Watch
	3	2.95	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (2.95)	3.03 ↓ (3.3)	2.37 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
31.3%

Draw
30.1%

Rosario Central
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

27.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.2%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+5%)

Defensor Sporting - Rosario Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dufour M. (G) 16. Alvarez J. 34. Barco A. 5. Bernal F. 13. Cambon A. 3. De los Santos G. 8. Elizari F. 28. Prieto K. 7. Rodriguez N. 21. Valiente J. 15. Viacava J.	20. Werner A. (G) 19. Bravo A. 9. Cervera T. 29. Dupuy L. 6. Komar J. 10. Malcorra I. 15. Mallo Blanco F. 37. Ocampo E. 30. O'Connor T. 45. Ortiz K. 16. Rodriguez Armoa A. F.
Substitutes
17. Barrios F. 4. Cabrera R. 14. Copelotti M. 24. Couture F. 12. Dawson K. (G) 27. Jorge J. M. 29. Kusmanis M. 2. Lima A. 18. Soria A. 19. Viudez P. 11. Wunsch N.	23. Bogado G. 1. Broun J. (G) 26. Burgos S. 22. Giaccone L. 42. Gimenez 8. Ibarra F. 18. Lo Celso F. 11. Lovera M. 7. Martinez M. 44. Modica A. 3. Sandez A.

Preview

Defensor Sporting has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Rosario is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensor Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Rosario have a series of guest games.

Rosario will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rosario to win the game is with odds 2.26.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Serie Rio de la Plata
16.01.24	Defensor Sporting - Unión Santa Fe	1:2 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
07.12.23	Defensor Sporting - Danubio	0:2 ✺
04.12.23	Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:0 ✺
29.11.23	Defensor Sporting - River Plate Montevideo	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Defensor Sporting	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Rosario Central
Serie Rio de la Plata
16.01.24	Colo-Colo - Rosario Central	1:0 penalties ✺
13.01.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Trofeo de Campeones
22.12.23	River Plate - Rosario Central	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.12.23	Rosario Central - Platense	1:0 ✺
09.12.23	River Plate - Rosario Central	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LTLWW

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