Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)

Referee: Pereira G. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Central Norte		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.3	6	Watch
	1.61	3.4	5.75
	1.6	3.3	6.1	Watch
	1.64	3.33	6.81
				Watch
	1.57	3.3	6.5
	1.61	3.28	6.38	Watch
	1.68	3.15	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)	3.29 ↓ (3.5)	6.15 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
57%

Draw
28%

Defensores Unidos
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

26.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Central Norte - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Norte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Central Norte will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vazquez E. (G) 4. Rinaudo S. 2. Gonzalez C. 6. Sanchez M. 3. Sanz P. 8. Banega T. 5. Ribero M. 10. Acosta R. 11. Alvez G. 7. Moravec M. 9. Tisera F.	1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Ferreyra T. 2. Rassol F. 6. Marchesini F. 3. Arguello J. 8. Caballo M. 5. Ortiz B. 11. Rojas D. 7. Tello J. 9. Aguirre D. E. 10. Gimenez M.
Coaches
Fornasari P.	Davio S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ledesma D. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Ferreyra T. (Own goal),
28', Banega T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rocca J. ↓, Patroni S. ↑,
46', Tello J. ↓, Olivera L. ↑,
46', Caballo M. ↓, Carboni B. ↑,
56', Patroni S. 🟨,
61', Tisera F. ↓, Blanco E. J. ↑,
61', Banega T. ↓, Mancuso G. ↑,
64', Mancuso G. 🟨,
69', Gimenez M. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
72', Ferreyra L. ↓, Berrondo A. ↑,
73', Ferreyra T. ↓, Juarez R. ↑,
83', Sanchez M. ↓, Berra T. ↑,
83', Ledesma D. ↓, Bianciotti A. ↑,
85', Marchesini F. 🟨,
85', 🟨,
86', 3 - 0, Marchesini F. (Own goal),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Central Norte is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Defensores Unidos is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Defensores Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Central Norte is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Central Norte won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.06.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Central Norte - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Central Norte	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Central Norte	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWLW
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Chaco For Ever - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Mitre	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Nueva Chicago - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Colón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.03.25	Defensores Unidos - Central Norte	1:1

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