Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 8

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento (Isidro Casanova)

Referee: Penel A. (Arg)


	Almirante Brown		Nueva Chicago

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.6	3.3	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.4
	2.4	2.8	3.25	Watch
	2.5	2.72	3.56
	2.48	2.67	3.48	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.5
	2.41	2.72	3.34
	2.4	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.17)	2.75 ↓ (2.95)	3.39 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almirante Brown
38.9%

Draw
33.7%

Nueva Chicago
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.9%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almirante Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Nueva Chicago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almirante Brown than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nueva Chicago than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez R. (G) 4. Cardozo E. 2. Iribarren N. 6. Pizarro P. 3. Villoldo T. 8. Acosta N. 5. Gauna S. 7. Belloso M. 10. Garcia D. (C) 9. Gonzalez R. 11. Ibanez J.	1. Ferrero F. (C) 4. Cortes F. 2. Soto G. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Rizzi F. 11. Molinas I. A. 5. Rodriguez T. 8. Montenegro M. 10. Cortes B. 7. Rodriguez I. 9. Villalba R.
Substitutes
14. Cenci B. 12. Galvan B. (G) 18. Garcia F. 17. Iglesias L. 15. Machado W. 19. Portillo S. 13. Varela C. 16. Vazquez J. 20. Villalba S.	16. Arroyo D. 19. Beltramone E. 12. Diaz L. (G) 17. Fernandez G. 13. Martinez A. 18. Motroni J. 15. Muscia G. 20. Ortiz M. 14. Zalazar C.
Coaches
Nardozza F.	Perazzo W

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Villalba R. 🟨,
40', Gauna S. 🟥,
40', Villalba R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Belloso M. ↓, Cenci B. ↑,
59', Ibanez J. ↓, Villalba S. ↑,
65', Molinas I. A. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
74', Gonzalez R. 🟨,
78', Acosta N. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
78', Gonzalez R. ↓, Portillo S. ↑,
80', Iribarren N. 🟨,
81', Cortes F. ↓, Beltramone E. ↑,
87', Villalba S. 🟨,
88', Montenegro M. 🟨,
90+3', Garcia D. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
90+3', Rodriguez T. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Nueva Chicago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Almirante Brown won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Almirante Brown won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almirante Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.05.25	Almirante Brown - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Almirante Brown - Chacarita Juniors	1:3 ✺
03.05.25	San Telmo - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Almirante Brown - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Almirante Brown	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWTL
- CA Nueva Chicago
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Nueva Chicago	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Nueva Chicago	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Nueva Chicago - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Nueva Chicago	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Nueva Chicago - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.08.24	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	0:1
31.03.24	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	1:0
30.09.23	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	1:0
20.05.23	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	3:0
23.07.22	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	2:2
23.08.21	Nueva Chicago - Almirante Brown	0:3
12.04.21	Almirante Brown - Nueva Chicago	1:0

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