Match Info

Date: 31 July 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Defensores de Belgrano		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.3	3	3.1
	2.3	3	3
	2.36	2.75	3.15
	2.52	2.79	3.45
	2.38	2.7	3.2
	2.38	2.89	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)	2.88 ↑ (2.86)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
39%

Draw
32%

Barracas Central
29%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

32.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.7%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barracas Central could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Defensores de Belgrano - Barracas Central Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barracas Central is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Defensores de Belgrano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.07.21	Instituto Córdoba - Defensores de Belgrano	0:2 ✺
17.07.21	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores de Belgrano	1:3 ✺
10.07.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Tristán Suárez	1:6 ✺
04.07.21	Ferro Carril Oeste - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
29.06.21	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Morón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLTL
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.07.21	Barracas Central - San Telmo	3:2 ✺
17.07.21	Barracas Central - Villa Dálmine	1:0 ✺
12.07.21	San Martín de San Juan - Barracas Central	2:3 ✺
03.07.21	Barracas Central - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
27.06.21	Guillermo Brown - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.03.21	Barracas Central - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1
Argentinian Primera B
05.05.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Barracas Central	0:0
21.04.18	Defensores de Belgrano - Barracas Central	2:2
04.12.17	Barracas Central - Defensores de Belgrano	0:3
25.03.17	Barracas Central - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2
10.09.16	Defensores de Belgrano - Barracas Central	1:1
06.02.16	Defensores de Belgrano - Barracas Central	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.10.26	Colón - Defensores de Belgrano	✺
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.11.26	Belgrano - Barracas Central	✺

Defensores de Belgrano - Barracas Central