Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena (Salta)


	Central Norte		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.65	3.5	Watch
	2.30	2.80	3.20
	2.3	2.75	3.3	Watch
	2.48	2.89	3.45
	2.41	2.81	3.41	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.35
	2.29	2.75	3.27	Watch
	2.3	2.8	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.22)	2.78 ↓ (2.83)	3.35 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Norte
39.2%

Draw
33.2%

Defensores de Belgrano
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

32.4%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

31.2%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hass F. (G) 3. Sanz P. 2. Calderon E. 6. Lamosa A. 4. Rosales M. 10. Quiroga S. 5. Villarreal M. 8. Mancuso G. 7. Vedoya F. 11. Bodencer E. 9. Borda F.	1. Medina A. (G) 4. Gomez B. 2. Gamarra G. 6. Jerez Silva L. 3. Rodriguez M. 5. De Tomasso J. 8. Gutierrez I. 10. Landriel L. 11. Moyano P. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Gonzalez E.
Substitutes
15. Aleo A. 16. Bustinduy A. 17. Castro T. 14. Felissia L. 20. Isa Luna K. 18. Mateo J. 19. Moravec M. 13. Pucheta A. 12. Vazquez E. (G)	20. Ardaiz J. 16. Benitez A. 15. Borsotti N. 17. Ciccolini L. 18. Garcia D. 13. Gigli L. 14. Magallanes D. 12. Nocetti N. (G) 19. Tcherkaski F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Moyano P. ⚽, Aguirre E. (A),
44', Jerez Silva L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mancuso G. ↓, Castro T. ↑,
46', Sanz P. ↓, Aleo A. ↑,
48', Calderon E. 🟨,
62', Moyano P. ↓, Ciccolini L. ↑,
64', Bodencer E. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
64', Quiroga S. ↓, Isa Luna K. ↑,
71', Aguirre E. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
71', Landriel L. ↓, Ardaiz J. ↑,
71', Rosales M. 🟨,
78', Villarreal M. ↓, Mateo J. ↑,
83', Gutierrez I. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
83', Gonzalez E. ↓, Tcherkaski F. ↑,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th and 12th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Defensores may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Defensores has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Central Norte holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Central Norte has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:4 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Central Norte against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Defensores de Belgrano - the odds 3.49 are the expected chance of winning is 26.25%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.09.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Central Norte	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mitre - Central Norte	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Central Norte - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TTTTW
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.09.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Madryn	2:1 ✺
09.09.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Racing de Córdoba	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	1:1
27.09.25	Defensores de Belgrano - Central Norte	2:0
25.05.25	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1

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