Match Info

Date: 24 July 2022, Sunday


	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo		Gimnasia y Tiro

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.85	2.55
	2.6	2.9	2.6
	2.65	2.8	2.65
	2.78	2.58	2.8
	2.81	2.66	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.6)	2.76 ↓ (2.87)	2.68 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
33.4%

Draw
32.8%

Gimnasia y Tiro
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

31.2%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

30.1%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	77.8%	22.2%

Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Tiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Defensores Belgrano VR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores Belgrano VR won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.22	Unión de Sunchales - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:2 ✺
16.07.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Defensores de Pronunciamiento	1:0 ✺
10.07.22	General San Martín de Formosa - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	1:0 ✺
03.07.22	Central Norte - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0 ✺
22.06.22	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Douglas Haig	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLL
- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Torneo Federal
20.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Douglas Haig	4:3 ✺
16.07.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
10.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Sportivo Belgrano	0:3 ✺
03.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
26.06.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.04.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:0
31.10.21	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1
01.08.21	Gimnasia y Tiro - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	2:1

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