Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 11

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Stora Valla (Degerfors)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	VG+
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Degerfors		Malmö

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.50	Watch
	2.85	3.20	2.40
	3.20	3.25	2.12
	3.05	3.37	2.47
	3.57	3.39	2.15	Watch
	3.00	3.30	2.35
	2.91	3.22	2.51	Watch
	2.90	3.20	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.14)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	2.36 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Degerfors
31.2%

Draw
28.8%

Malmö
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29.1%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Degerfors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.2%	4.2%	91.7%

Degerfors - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Degerfors will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Malmö will win (votes: 20 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Malmö: 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Malmö (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Igonen M. (G) 6. Sundgren D. (C) 7. Ohlsson S. 16. Ohlsson S. 18. Diatara S. 8. Hussein B. 4. Karlsson K. 22. Girmai N. 14. Fritzson L. 20. Barsoum E. 17. Taranis A.	1. Olsen R. (C) 17. Stryger J. 5. Djuric A. 44. Palsson M. 23. John N. 40. Busuladzic K. 7. Rosengren O. 37. Skogmar A. 24. Sjostrand O. 29. Haksabanovic S. 20. Botheim E.
Substitutes
21. Berisson A. 2. Diaby M. 25. Forsell R. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 24. Leonardsson O. 12. Lindell E. 19. Lindgren A. 15. Moro N. 11. Vukojevic D.	27. Dahlin J. (G) 11. Ekong E. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 45. Hoog A. 6. Karabelyov Y. 2. Karlsson J. 4. Kurtulus B. 47. Lundbergh T. 19. Rosler C.
Coaches
Goitom H.	Molins G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Busuladzic K. 🟨,
40', Rosengren O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Botheim E. ⚽, Busuladzic K. (A),
55', Girmai N. ↓, Leonardsson O. ↑,
55', Leonardsson O. 🟨,
69', Taranis A. ↓, Vukojevic D. ↑,
69', Hussein B. ↓, Lindgren A. ↑,
69', Busuladzic K. ↓, Lundbergh T. ↑,
75', Ohlsson S. ↓, Lindell E. ↑,
78', Palsson M. ↓, Kurtulus B. ↑,
78', John N. ↓, Hoog A. ↑,
85', Stryger J. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
85', Sjostrand O. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 0.

In recent matches, Degerfors has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Malmö has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Malmö will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Degerfors: Ohlsson S. (Muscle Injury) Salifu Z. (Injury)

There will not play in Malmö: Christiansen A. (Leg Injury) Jansson P. (Knee Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Degerfors won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:36. (average 0.8:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Degerfors won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:13. (average 0.5:3.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37:33	4	33
13	Degerfors	23	5	5	13	20:35	-15	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Degerfors IF
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Lillestrøm SK - Degerfors	2:3 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
31.05.26	Degerfors - Brommapojkarna	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	Kalmar - Degerfors	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	GAIS - Degerfors	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Degerfors - Mjällby	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTLTL
- Malmö FF
Club Friendly
26.06.26	Malmö - Midtjylland	2:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
30.05.26	Malmö - Halmstad	5:2 ✺
24.05.26	Malmö - Västerås SK	2:3 ✺
17.05.26	Hammarby - Malmö	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Häcken - Malmö	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
31.08.25	Malmö - Degerfors	1:1
11.05.25	Degerfors - Malmö	1:4
23.09.23	Degerfors - Malmö	1:2
05.06.23	Malmö - Degerfors	5:0
Svenska Cupen
05.03.23	Malmö - Degerfors	2:1
Swedish Allsvenskan
06.11.22	Malmö - Degerfors	2:2
29.05.22	Degerfors - Malmö	0:2

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