Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 7

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Nordic Wellness Arena (Göteborg)

Referee: Ladeback A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	Viaplay
Norway	VG+, Viaplay
Sweden	Discovery+, SVT Play, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Häcken		Malmö

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.6	3.3
	2.05	3.6	3.3
	2.13	3.72	3.42
	2.22	3.5	3.16	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.08	3.65	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.45)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	3.27 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Häcken
45%

Draw
26.3%

Malmö
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

26.9%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Häcken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Häcken's performance.

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Häcken than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Häcken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Häcken - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Häcken will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Malmö will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Linde A. (G) 5. Wembangomo B. 13. Hilvenius H. 22. Helander F. 21. Lundkvist A. 24. Layouni A. 8. Andersen S. 6. Doumbia A. 20. Svanback A. 10. Rygaard M. (C) 9. Lindgren G.	27. Dahlin J. (C) 17. Stryger J. 5. Djuric A. 19. Rosler C. 25. Busanello 40. Busuladzic K. 24. Sjostrand O. 37. Skogmar A. 7. Rosengren O. 29. Haksabanovic S. 20. Botheim E.
Substitutes
14. Agbonifo J. 18. Al Saed D. 35. Andersson D. (G) 16. Dahbo P. 3. Hammar J. 11. Lindberg J. 7. Ngabo S. 12. Ohman F. 23. Samuelsson O.	11. Ekong E. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 6. Karabelyov Y. 2. Karlsson J. 4. Kurtulus B. 47. Lundbergh T. 28. Milosavljevic J. 50. Nieroth W. (G) 21. Vecchia S.
Coaches
Gustafsson J.	Ramirez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Lindgren G. ⚽, Svanback A. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Stryger J. (Own goal),
24', 2 - 1, Busanello ⚽, Rosengren O. (A),
35', Rygaard M. 🟨,
37', 3 - 1, Lindgren G. ⚽, Lundkvist A. (A),
39', 3 - 2, Botheim E. ⚽, Haksabanovic S. (A),
45+1', Svanback A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Svanback A. ↓, Lindberg J. ↑,
64', Sjostrand O. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
64', Busuladzic K. ↓, Lundbergh T. ↑,
71', Lindberg J. 🟨,
74', Rosengren O. 🟨,
75', Skogmar A. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
77', Rygaard M. ↓, Agbonifo J. ↑,
86', Stryger J. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
86', Busanello ↓, Vecchia S. ↑,
89', Layouni A. ↓, Hammar J. ↑,
90', Lindgren G. ↓, Dahbo P. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 1.

Häcken is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Malmö has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Häcken may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Häcken won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Häcken won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Outrights of Swedish Allsvenskan for now

Hacken: 0.68% Malmo FF: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hacken	22	9	9	4	39:30	9	36
8	Malmo FF	22	10	3	9	37:33	4	33

Last Results with these Odds

Häcken - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Häcken
Swedish Allsvenskan
02.05.26	Degerfors - Häcken	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	Häcken - Sirius	2:2 ✺
22.04.26	Västerås SK - Häcken	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Häcken - GAIS	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	IFK Göteborg - Häcken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTWW
- Malmö FF
Swedish Allsvenskan
03.05.26	Malmö - Mjällby	2:3 ✺
27.04.26	AIK - Malmö	0:1 ✺
23.04.26	Malmö - Sirius	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Djurgården - Malmö	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Malmö - GAIS	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
01.11.25	Häcken - Malmö	1:1
01.06.25	Malmö - Häcken	3:0
Svenska Cupen
29.05.25	Malmö - Häcken	0:1 penalties
Swedish Allsvenskan
22.09.24	Malmö - Häcken	4:0
20.05.24	Häcken - Malmö	2:2
05.11.23	Häcken - Malmö	4:2
21.05.23	Malmö - Häcken	2:2

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