Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 17

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Jocay (Manta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Delfín		Emelec

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.7	Watch
	2.55	2.80	2.65
	2.88	2.78	2.62	Watch
	3.34	2.8	2.7
	2.89	2.84	2.74	Watch
	3.2	2.65	2.65
	2.84	2.93	2.67	Watch
	2.85	2.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.67)	2.8 ↓ (3)	2.67 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Delfín
32%

Draw
33.2%

Emelec
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

30.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

30.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Delfín - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Delfín will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cardenas J. (G) 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. (C) 5. Medina O. 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 78. Ushina K. 30. Valverde J. 34. Heredia G. 50. Ozaeta T. 9. Ayunta F. 19. Cavallaro J.	12. Ortiz P. (G) 14. Caicedo R. 27. Leon F. (C) 4. Segura E. 3. Guerrico I. 10. Pizzini F. 5. Mina A. 6. Griffith V. 8. Napoli G. 9. Neris J. 7. Klimowicz L.
Substitutes
7. Alvarez A. 13. Cardenas B. (G) 77. Hernandez B. 20. Molano I. 18. Morocho J. 1. Ortiz J. (G) 11. Perinciolo F. 55. Reyes M. 99. Tenorio L. 27. Yepez E. 14. Zuniga E.	21. Cevallos J. 15. Fragozo L. 2. Leguizamon A. 30. Mina A. 16. Quintero S. 28. Tobar B. 51. Valencia S. 1. Valero M. (G) 24. Viteri A.
Coaches
Leon J.	Nasuti C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Ushina K. ⚽, Heredia G. (A),
43', Bedoya A. 🟨,
45+4', Ozaeta T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Neris J. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
46', Pizzini F. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Mina A. ⚽, Klimowicz L. (A),
62', Napoli G. ↓, Quintero S. ↑,
67', Ushina K. ↓, Perinciolo F. ↑,
67', Heredia G. ↓, Morocho J. ↑,
69', Quintero S. 🟨,
80', Ozaeta T. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
80', Ayunta F. ↓, Yepez E. ↑,
85', Griffith V. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
88', Cevallos J. 🟨,
90+4', Mina A. ↓, Tobar B. ↑,

Preview

Event will be played on 6.7. 0:00.

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 1.

Delfín is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Emelec has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Delfín has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Delfín won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Delfín won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Delfín - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.16%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Emelec - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.49%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
30.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Delfín	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
12.05.26	Baños Ciudad de Fuego - Delfín	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTWL
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.05.26	Emelec - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Emelec - Deportivo Macará	2:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
20.05.26	Daquilema - Emelec	1:0 penalties ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.05.26	Manta - Emelec	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Emelec - Libertad Loja	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.02.26	Emelec - Delfín	1:1
30.11.25	Delfín - Emelec	0:1
26.10.25	Emelec - Delfín	1:0
21.06.25	Emelec - Delfín	2:2
22.02.25	Delfín - Emelec	2:0
24.08.24	Delfín - Emelec	0:1
21.03.24	Emelec - Delfín	2:0

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