Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 16

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca)

Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Deportivo Cuenca		Delfín

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.25	6	Watch
	1.63	3.1	5.25
	1.65	3.25	5.5	Watch
	1.69	3.45	5.98
	1.67	3.36	5.94	Watch
	1.62	3.1	5
	1.65	3.36	6.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (2.01)	3.27 ↑ (2.92)	5.67 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cuenca
55.6%

Draw
28.1%

Delfín
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

32%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

30.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cuenca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Cuenca's performance.

Delfín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Delfín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Cuenca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Delfín than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Deportivo Cuenca (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo Cuenca will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferrero F. (G) 25. Lopez A. (C) 28. Boolsen P. 18. Piedra M. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 30. Maccari M. 20. Garcia B. 8. Vega E. 49. Gonzalez D. 43. Ordonez J. 19. Diaz M.	21. Heras B. (C) 77. Hernandez B. 17. Rubio E. 32. Bedoya A. 6. Burdisso M. 14. Zuniga E. 16. Castro L. 34. Heredia G. 78. Ushina K. 10. Mendoza E. 19. Cavallaro J.
Substitutes
37. Arboleda C. 14. Chacon J. 23. Guevara E. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 21. Morocho S. 6. Postel S. 11. Rivero G. 13. Valencia J.	7. Alvarez A. 9. Ayunta F. 33. Cabeza E. 22. Cardenas J. (G) 40. Castillo Saa J. L. 5. Medina O. 18. Morocho J. 50. Ozaeta T. 11. Perinciolo F. 55. Reyes M. 27. Yepez E.
Coaches
Celico J.	Zubeldia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Ushina K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Boolsen P. 🟨,
61', Hernandez B. ↓, Medina O. ↑,
61', Zuniga E. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
61', Cavallaro J. ↓, Perinciolo F. ↑,
62', Perinciolo F. 🟨,
62', Diaz M. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
62', Garcia B. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
62', Gonzalez D. ↓, Mejia J. ↑,
78', Castro L. 🟨,
79', Castro L. ↓, Morocho J. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Lopez A. ⚽,
85', Rubio E. 🟨,
87', Rubio E. ↓, Ozaeta T. ↑,
87', Erique Villigua Y. H. ↓, Arboleda C. ↑,
88', Morocho J. 🟨,
90+1', Lopez A. ↓, Morocho S. ↑,
90+6', Burdisso M. 🟥,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 15 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Delfín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportivo Cuenca is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cuenca won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cuenca won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.6:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cuenca
Copa Sudamericana
26.05.26	Santos - Deportivo Cuenca	3:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
23.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.05.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Recoleta	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.05.26	Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Guayaquil City - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTTWW
- Delfín SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.05.26	Delfín - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:2 ✺
16.05.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Delfín	2:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Copa
12.05.26	Baños Ciudad de Fuego - Delfín	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
09.05.26	Técnico Universitario - Delfín	4:0 ✺
03.05.26	Delfín - Mushuc Runa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.02.26	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0
05.12.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	0:0
31.10.25	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	2:0
13.07.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	1:1
15.03.25	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0
14.09.24	Delfín - Deportivo Cuenca	0:0
31.03.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Delfín	0:0

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